Fading south swell, building north swell

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 1st August)

Best Days: Possible south magnets dawn tomorrow, late Friday northern corners

Recap

Tiny to flat surf the last few days.

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This week and weekend (Jul 31 – Aug 5)

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A weak front pushing across us today generated a slightly better than expected fetch of strong S/SW winds in our southern swell window, and this may have kicked up some small lines later today.

Any swell is due to peak overnight and ease from 1-2ft max at south swell magnets dawn tomorrow, tiny by lunch. W/NW tending gusty N/NW winds will keep conditions clean at these locations.

Moving into Friday and we'll see our N/NE windswell event developing through the day, with a peak now expected just before dark if not into the evening.

A strong mid-latitude front approaching from the west will squeeze a strong high in the Tasman Sea, producing a weak fetch of N/NE winds Thursday evening and early Friday, with the fetch strengthening and broadening through the day ahead of the change.

We'll likely see small building levels of weak N/NE windswell from 1-2ft at dawn, up to 3ft or so through the day, if not kicking a touch stronger on dark.

The NW change has now been delayed, with onshore N/NE winds due right up until late in the day when we may see a shift to the N/NW.

Overnight the westerly change proper will push through leaving no major size into Saturday, with fading 1-1.5ft sets max.

Looking into early next week and there's still nothing major on the cards besides a smaller and flukier N/NE windswell event late Sunday/Monday, but we'll review this Friday.