The gist of it is a trough line in the Coral Sea, which may deepen into a low pressure system and drift towards the North Island (GFS scenario) or move towards the QLD coast as a coastal trough and intensify a NE infeed into the SEQLD, then NSW Coast possibly as early as Tues.
Plenty of action in the tropics and subtropics next week but we’ll see a quiet opening to the week for temperate NSW, with some model divergence for later next week.
Today’s SW swell will ease slowly through Tuesday, but a second S/SW groundswell will build through the day - initially small in size, and likely to reach a late afternoon peak.
Mid to late afternoon, the leading edge of a new long period E’ly swell will make landfall, though we’re not expecting wave heights to peak until...
Late afternoon, the leading edge of a new long period S’ly swell will make landfall, though we’re not expecting wave heights to peak until...
An impressive series of stronger, better-aligned followup fronts behind this - from Friday thru’ Monday below the continent - will then generate much better surf for the region.
No major changes to Craig’s notes from Friday - we’ve got a strong SW groundswell inbound tomorrow.
More S groundswell expected next week, with a renewal in S swell Tues from a deep low passing under Tas later Sun into Mon.
The surf and swell keeps on coming with generally favourable winds.
The Indian Ocean is teasing us and making it tricky to pull apart mediocre swell sources.
