Models are holding steady on a winter calibre low tracking well to the south- south-east of Tasmania during Sun and traversing the far Southern Tasman through Mon.
The coming three days will become large in size but winds look mostly average, best on the backside of the event into Tuesday.
A good run of swell for most locations across the Indian Ocean basin.
We've got a ton of swell inbound but with lots of wind.
We’ll see a new high move into the Tasman next week with healthier looking tradewind flow in the Coral Sea.
Models are in good agreement now for strong gales to push NE of Tas as a deep low transits the Tasman Sun/Mon into an already active sea state.
There's plenty of quality surf days on the way with good swells and improving winds.
Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast.
Some quiet days then follow before a much more robust front and low enter the lower Tasman late in the weekend driving some sizey S swell up the coast early next week.
The surf will start to come up from Friday, strongest on the weekend but with winds from the south-eastern quadrant.
