A strong frontal system moving in from the west looks a touch better, while winds for next week are touch and go.

Lovely settled conditions at the moment with a broad area of high pressure in the Tasman and a broad but weak tradewind fetch just moving into a better position S and SW of New Caledonia. That will see some small E/NE swell develop through the end of this week into the weekend.

Winds at the southern extent of the fetch will supply some small sideband energy for NETas through next week.

With good model agreement now there’s high confidence we’ll see a major winter swell event next week as a slow moving low takes up occupancy in the Central Tasman leading to a highly energised stormy sea state over a majority of the Tasman Sea.