Here it comes: after an extended period of tiny, blowy conditions we’re about to see a major upswing in wave heights as the storm track finally aligns properly in our swell window.
The low pressure system driving this front is a beauty, and it’s aimed fair and square into Kangaroo Island.
The swell charts are suggesting some serious size (and wind) over the weekend, but I’m still a little cautious. Confidence that you'll pick up great waves this weekend is certainly not high at all.
Today’s easing trade swell will continue its downwards trend into the weekend, but winds will swing W/NW across northern regions and W/SW across southern regions, resulting in clean beachbreaks.
Sunday however is still on track for a strong south swell to build through the day as a strong series of fronts push through the lower Tasman Sea.
The next few days look a little suss with E/NE winds tending NE then eventually N’ly, freshening all the while.
Confidence in the outlook for Thursday has plummeted. Main reason being: Monday’s read on the synoptics had anticipated a broad, slow upwards trend trough today, plateauing into Thursday mooring, then easing from Friday.
A much more powerful front, steered by an active node of the Long Wave Trough, will push into our region early Saturday, delivering squally SW winds across the coast and a proper 3-5ft Mid Coast stormy throughout the day with small waves on the metro beaches.
The outlook for the rest of the week remains equally tricky and thus confidence is very low that we’ll see anything worthwhile.
Wednesday and Thursday will see persistent gales from the NW thru’ W, then W/SW thru’ SW.
