samoa forecast

geoffrey's picture
geoffrey started the topic in Tuesday, 17 Jul 2018 at 8:53am

Hi guys, been watching the Samoa forecast for about 3 months now and am trying to decode it, not necessarily spot specific, just to see if the region will be getting any swell at all when i head over.

all my observations have been taken from swellnet samoa forecast section. Wind: generally blasting out of the eastern quadrant at the moment anywhere from 15-25knots, but it has it consistently blowing all night. I am guessing its like the mentawai wind forecast which is generally nowhere near the mark? South pacific trades generally glass in morning then blast up in the arvo as a general rule?

Swell: The general trend seems to be either mid period trade swell from the east along with blasting easterly winds, and small/ish long period S/SW swells. Now i know that absolute south swell magnets along my neck of the woods, .4-1M of nice long period swell (16+ seconds) can often translate into perfect 3-4 foot waves, so if anything i should just be watching the period and ignoring everything else.

Anyone disagree with any of that?

I did use that monster of a swell that hit fiji (ramon swell?) as a reference point, it had samoa getting about 2ish meters of long period swell and i think the generic forecast page here on swellnet had it 4-6ft the whole time. Footage out of some samoan spots were maybe twice that size so i'm only really going off the specific swells now in the forecast section.

specifically for the dates im going there is half to a meter of long period south/SW swells so i'm not worried illl get skunked, just interested to hear from someone who has been there.

cheers.

geoffrey's picture
geoffrey's picture
geoffrey commented Tuesday, 17 Jul 2018 at 10:19am

Hi guys, been watching the Samoa forecast for about 3 months now and am trying to decode it, not necessarily spot specific, just to see if the region will be getting any swell at all when i head over.

all my observations have been taken from swellnet samoa forecast section. Wind: generally blasting out of the eastern quadrant at the moment anywhere from 15-25knots, but it has it consistently blowing all night. I am guessing its like the mentawai wind forecast which is generally nowhere near the mark? South pacific trades generally glass in morning then blast up in the arvo as a general rule?

Swell: The general trend seems to be either mid period trade swell from the east along with blasting easterly winds, and small/ish long period S/SW swells. Now i know that absolute south swell magnets along my neck of the woods, .4-1M of nice long period swell (16+ seconds) can often translate into perfect 3-4 foot waves, so if anything i should just be watching the period and ignoring everything else.

Anyone disagree with any of that?

I did use that monster of a swell that hit fiji (ramon swell?) as a reference point, it had samoa getting about 2ish meters of long period swell and i think the generic forecast page here on swellnet had it 4-6ft the whole time. Footage out of some samoan spots were maybe twice that size so i'm only really going off the specific swells now in the forecast section.

specifically for the dates im going there is half to a meter of long period south/SW swells so i'm not worried illl get skunked, just interested to hear from someone who has been there.

cheers.

mysto83's picture
mysto83's picture
mysto83 commented Wednesday, 12 Sep 2018 at 5:57pm

Hi Geoffrey, how was the trip? I had similar questions and observations. I'm heading to samoa in 10 days with my bros. Was your interpretation of the forecast accurate?

Latest News

Grant 'Twiggy' Baker Wins Big Wave Tour Nazare Challenge

Mike Parsons, Big Wave Tour commissioner has granted this event a Silver coefficient, meaning results in Nazaré will carry a 10% increase in points.

Watch: Adrien Toyon // First Love

Stu Nettle

Twenty-something surfer reunites with his very first board and wonders why he ever stopped surfing it.

Watch: Albee Layer and Matt Meola // Polylemma

Stu Nettle

Get two surfers for the price of none.

Green Alert for Nazare

It's 48 hours till go time. Check the draw and time difference for Oz viewers.

Oil spill in Great Australian Bight could reach Sydney's beaches

Eugene Boisvert...

A leaked draft environmental plan illustrates how damaging a drilling mishap in the Bight could be.

Yellow Alert for Nazare

Stu Nettle

"Though Friday's swell will be overshadowed by Sunday's it has a few things going in its favour."

Watch: Bowie Pollard // Tea Tree

Stu Nettle

Timeless scenes from the outside points.

Watch: Reef Heazlewood // Untitled

Stu Nettle

Freesurfing at the pointy end of the season.

Latest Comments

ritchie-rich in Should legropes break? 1542407220
79
gerrywaverider in Cecil Healy: "A jolly good fellow" 1542376606
14
LeoRoberts in Watch: Adrien Toyon // First Love 1542360527
8
redmondo in Green Alert for Nazare 1542355981
28
velocityjohnno in Satellite records largest ever wave height 1542349964
47
velocityjohnno in River deep, mountain high: Explaining Nazare 1542346404
21