Submitted by Craig on Wed, 11/06/2013 - 12:22
Eastern Tasmania Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 6th November)
Best Days: Thursday morning, Saturday morning in protected spots
Monday's S'ly swell was replaced by a good pulse of SE swell with light offshores yesterday morning. The swell ease into the afternoon and further overnight leaving flat waves this morning.
Short Term (Nov 7-8)
Tomorrow will provide a small window of fun waves as winds swing offshore cleaning up a peaky NE windswell. The weather will turn bad from Thursday evening though as a surface trough moves into the Southern Tasman Sea strengthens off our coast.
A junky S/SE windswell will be generated as the trough aims a fetch of strengthening S/SE winds into us, building strongly late Friday. Winds will be poor and strong from the S/SE though.
This weekend onwards (Nov 9-12)
A drop in S/SE swell is expected through Saturday as the surface trough starts to weaken and move away from us (pictured right). Winds will remain poor and from the S'th though limiting the best waves to protected spots. Sunday will be smaller and cleaner with early SW winds likely with a fun SE swell.
Another surface trough is forecast to develop off the Southern NSW coast and then drift south through early next week. This will see fun levels of SE tending E'ly swell developing across the coast off the southern flank of the trough.
Unfortunately we'll fall under the effect of the trough when it drifts south resulting in onshore winds at the peak of the swell.
Longer Term (Nov 13 onwards)
We'll see the E'ly ease into the end of next week with more favourable winds. Beyond this is unclear but we'll review the outlook again on Friday.