Submitted by reecen on Tue, 10/08/2013 - 15:32
Any thoughts on how big this swell is going to be in Indo over the next couple of days?
Surfline calling it biggest in years?
Certainly looks to be one damn solid swell with impressive swell periods to boot. Would most certainly be one of the biggest swells to hit up there in October ever.
Current forecast for Bali tomorrow - [email protected]
Previous history for the first week of October was [email protected] on 6th October 2010 and [email protected] back on 2nd October 2006.
So certainly goes close to being one of the biggest and most powerful swells to hit Indo in the first week of October.
We've actually got a peak in Bali of 3.8m @16.6s. And it's even bigger over in Java.
Personally I don't think it's the biggest swell in years, system was impressive but didn't really wow me. Should be some cool spots lighting up.
I'm in West Java, at 4pm its solid 6 foot with occasional 8 foot sets rolling in the past hour. I guess its still Monday for the Seppos so technically they haven't got it wrong yet. Swell has more South in it than SW. More W/SW would help to get into a few spots that only break a few times a year. Local winds here are light. Fishing is good.
Mick Free FIFOFOMO
It's october!!! Certainly one of the biggest swells to hit indo at this time of year!!!
Cheers guys here's hoping the winds play ball.
The Indian Ocean has been on fire, I didn't see the same purple blobs in the Indian Ocean that Surfline has put up. They use LoLa or GFS??
I mean 3.8m at 16 secs so 10 foot??
Don, October last year saw that massive swell at Jaws. Should we be that surprised that we get a big swell in October in Indo? The seasons seem to be later and later. What's your take on the sat passes? It's a massive call from Surfline - people will jumping on planes.
How is it today, Mick?
Also, I whacked a case of Pale Ale in your fridge. Did you notice it or had it been drunk? Have you even been home since then..?
It's solid 8-10 foot, with a couple of cleanup sets in the 12 foot + range. First time I have seen the 3rd reef break out here at Cimaja. Technically it was surf able but no takers. I'm sure the more exposed breaks could be even bigger. Getting a speedboat tomorrow to check a few other spots.
Interesting waves coming in sets of only 3 waves (4max) at a time, but really consistent. Not sure if that has anything to do with period but sure enough every 20mins there were waves exceptionally larger than the previous sets of waves.
Craig's forecast was 15-18 foot so that's probably bang on if not bigger. I mean Ombuk Tujuh probably would have been that big.
A friend posted Padang at 8 foot today. I'll try and get some photos up, locals Dede and Gerry were getting some unreal waves.
What happened to the Pale Ale Mickfr3..?
Our brains are too small at the moment to comprehend the reality of what's happening in our forests . We're only just waking up so to speak . The big problem is we think we know everything, we are specks of dust on a timeline and we know nothing .
First time I have seen the 3rd reef break out here at Cimaja.
So that would make it a damn rare swell event then Mick?
Hope its still in the fridge Wellymon!!!
Don I don't understand the causes to comment. I was just in,more general thatwe seem to have these swell events outside the normal winter swell winters like the Maui swell in October last year.
Its daybreak here and bigger and its cleaner. 1.7m tide last night washed waves right up over the break wall and outside the front of the house staying in
Here's one of Mick yesterday arvo on a bomb!
ha how do you do that?
Gotta upload to photobucket or flickr and then past the link in between the [IMG] tags that show up when you click that computer screen button.
I agree the swell season seems to be getting later & later. March has been hopeless for years on Oz east coast, though oct in Hawaii is early season. October has been a good month, generally, for about 4-5 years from memory, in the southern hemi.
Craig I'm struggling holding an internet connection! I will send you them on email and you can post.
Here's more pics from Mick..
Go to the Lefts already .
With such high tides there could be EPIC waves nearby .
UG would be out of Control , but that Bowl and Backdoor Peak is waiting .
Not to mention the insane Shorey ......
Oh to have spare time ......
" SA's Reserve Capacity "
Six is pretty Handy too ... Closer to shore . Literally
what size would this swell be as it goes nth past indo towards nicobar and Andaman islands and just how far northwards would it reach ? would it push swell way up into the bay of bengal.?
todays wotd pic ,is that reversed ?
Yeah it's pushing up there Udo. Our internal models have around 3m of swell @ 17-18s pushing north. There's a cyclone also in the mix but on the eastern sides of the islands it's gotta be pumping!
how far would it push up into the bay of Bengal do you think ? still have some size ?
It should push all the way up, but the further west, the smaller it will get. That cyclone would be contaminating the swell though and offer more size locally.
Deserts almost mackin out on the end section!!!
wave guru surf camp reports 12ft + clean up sets at serangan.
Great photos, thanks for sharing.
That link to the tracks article with the desert point photos are well worth the bandwidth to check out as well.
Whose missing Indo?
Going crazy was suppose to be there in a week or so.
Worse thing is, right now its the most uncrowded its been in 20 years or more, but if we can go next year, it's most likely going to be the most crowded year ever.
Just imagine all the guys itching to go, have holidays or money saved up, that will go next year if we can.