A low is expected to move E of Tasmania o/night and form a broad low pressure trough in the Tasman driving W’ly then S’ly winds along the NSW coast before moving NE as a surface low over the weekend. That will be the second surface low in succession to form in the Tasman and we may yet see a third develop later next week. 

Now is the window for a paddle ahead of a poor weekend.

Our next swell comes as the fetch retreats eastwards and becomes intensified by a deepening trough of low pressure between Vanuatu and Fiji, which forms a broad surface which tracks southwards from later this week.

In the tropics a trough deepening between Vanuatu and Fiji forms a broad surface low which tracks southwards through the wide open South Pacific slot between the North Island and tropical island chains, generating some tasty E’ly swell next week.