We’ll see some swell from this pattern, first from the initial short range S swell and then some better quality S/SE swell as the surface low retrogrades from near the South Island back into the Tasman.
A good sized westerly swell is due Wednesday but with onshore winds, improving as it eases later week.
At present these areas create weak low pressure off the CQ coast, that may see some slight E swell into the weekend.
That sets up for a solid spike in NE windswell through Mon as high pressure moves NE and a trough approaches.
Latest model runs have amplified this trough and a resulting trough of low pressure in the Tasman. There’s still some model divergence to get through so expect some revisions but odds are firming off a sizey S tending S/SE swell event from Thurs, as the trough deepens in the Central Tasman.
The weekend looks fun and likely best tomorrow morning ahead of a tiny run of surf.
Latest model runs have amplified this trough and a resulting trough of low pressure in the Tasman. There’s still some model divergence to get through so expect some revisions but odds are firming off a sizey S tending S/SE swell event from Wed, as the trough deepens in the Central Tasman.
Get some Chrissy shopping done this weekend and focus on early next week when another large swell is due.
The surf will ease into the weekend with cleaner conditions for the South Coast, ahead of a large W/SW groundswell next week.
Winds will create tricky conditions through next week with a new, moderate sized westerly swell.
