Northern NSW and South East Queensland Surf Forecast (Mon 25th Nov)

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Craig started the topic in Monday, 25 Nov 2013 at 11:22am

Northern NSW and South East Queensland Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 25th November)

Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning

Recap

The weekend offered fun waves across both regions with a small inconsistent E/SE swell and morning offshore winds. Today a slight kick in E/SE swell has been seen to 2-3ft on the North Coast, with 2ft waves continuing across the Goldy under light morning offshores.

This week (Nov 25-29)

Our east swell will back off into tomorrow morning ahead of a fresh pulse of S'ly swell that's expected to peak Wednesday. This will be related to the western arm of a low pressure system in the Southern Tasman Sea projecting a fetch of strong S'ly winds up the Southern NSW Coast this afternoon and evening before pushing past us tomorrow morning.

A mix of groundswell and windswell will build through tomorrow and persist Wednesday ahed of a late pulse of stronger S/SE groundswell, peaking Thursday morning. This will be generated by a fetch of S/SE gales being projected from the tip of New Zealand's South Island towards us this evening and early tomorrow (pictured above).

South facing beaches on the North Coast should peak at a good 3-4ft+ (2-3ft on the Goldy beaches) and winds will be offshore from the W/SW. The swell will really drop away into Friday but under morning offshore NW winds.

This weekend (Nov 30 onwards)

A small pulse of NE windswell is expected to ease rapidly Saturday morning as a S'ly change pushes up the coast and with this system we should see medium levels of S/SE windswell. There's no real quality expected at this stage but check back here Wednesday for the latest on this.

mitchvg's picture
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mitchvg commented Monday, 25 Nov 2013 at 4:03pm

Hi Craig, what would you say the source of the slight kick in E/SE swell was? My guess is the last gasp of that low on Friday, when it was NE on NZ?

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Craig commented Monday, 25 Nov 2013 at 5:06pm

Yeah Mitch, looks to have been from the low just as it drifted over the back of NZ.

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mitchvg commented Tuesday, 26 Nov 2013 at 10:52pm

Cheers Craig. Another q though, how come the Sunny and Goldy Forecast graphs are saying 4-5ft SF into Thursday, when the Nth NSW are just saying 2-3 ft? Doesn't seem right to be saying that it'll be bigger north of the border, on a sth swell...

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Craig commented Wednesday, 27 Nov 2013 at 5:07am

That's a flaw in the Wave Watch output (over estimating some south swells pushing north past Cape Byron and Moreton Island) which we'll hopefully have a fix for soon, but North Coast has actually got 4ft easing to 2-3ft later Thursday.

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mitchvg commented Wednesday, 27 Nov 2013 at 5:49pm

Ah ok, I've seen a similar on other sites like seabreeze. Ok mate cheers.