Submitted by Craig on Mon, 11/25/2013 - 11:22
Northern NSW and South East Queensland Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 25th November)
Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning
The weekend offered fun waves across both regions with a small inconsistent E/SE swell and morning offshore winds. Today a slight kick in E/SE swell has been seen to 2-3ft on the North Coast, with 2ft waves continuing across the Goldy under light morning offshores.
This week (Nov 25-29)
Our east swell will back off into tomorrow morning ahead of a fresh pulse of S'ly swell that's expected to peak Wednesday. This will be related to the western arm of a low pressure system in the Southern Tasman Sea projecting a fetch of strong S'ly winds up the Southern NSW Coast this afternoon and evening before pushing past us tomorrow morning.
A mix of groundswell and windswell will build through tomorrow and persist Wednesday ahed of a late pulse of stronger S/SE groundswell, peaking Thursday morning. This will be generated by a fetch of S/SE gales being projected from the tip of New Zealand's South Island towards us this evening and early tomorrow (pictured above).
South facing beaches on the North Coast should peak at a good 3-4ft+ (2-3ft on the Goldy beaches) and winds will be offshore from the W/SW. The swell will really drop away into Friday but under morning offshore NW winds.
This weekend (Nov 30 onwards)
A small pulse of NE windswell is expected to ease rapidly Saturday morning as a S'ly change pushes up the coast and with this system we should see medium levels of S/SE windswell. There's no real quality expected at this stage but check back here Wednesday for the latest on this.
Hi Craig, what would you say the source of the slight kick in E/SE swell was? My guess is the last gasp of that low on Friday, when it was NE on NZ?
Yeah Mitch, looks to have been from the low just as it drifted over the back of NZ.
Cheers Craig. Another q though, how come the Sunny and Goldy Forecast graphs are saying 4-5ft SF into Thursday, when the Nth NSW are just saying 2-3 ft? Doesn't seem right to be saying that it'll be bigger north of the border, on a sth swell...
That's a flaw in the Wave Watch output (over estimating some south swells pushing north past Cape Byron and Moreton Island) which we'll hopefully have a fix for soon, but North Coast has actually got 4ft easing to 2-3ft later Thursday.
Ah ok, I've seen a similar on other sites like seabreeze. Ok mate cheers.