Submitted by Craig on Mon, 11/11/2013 - 15:57
Eastern Tasmania Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Monday 11th November)
Best Days: Wednesday afternoon, Thursday morning
Saturday saw fun waves with a mix of easing SE swell with some NE swell in the mix, while Sunday offered good waves as the NE swell was the more dominant of the two. Today a small onshore S/SE swell was breaking, but this is the calm before the storm with some large swell due over the coming few days.
This week (Nov 11-15)
An intense Tasman Low that's currently sitting off the NSW coast is generating large stormy seas for that region. This low is expected to drift south during this evening and tomorrow, aiming a fetch of strong to gale-force E'ly winds through our swell window (pictured right).
This should kick up large levels of building E'ly swell through tomorrow ahead of a peak early Wednesday. Winds on Wednesday morning look dicey as the low still sits just over us, but as the day continues we should see these onshores relaxing and swinging around to the NW. So give the early morning a miss and aim for a paddle from late morning onwards.
Thursday morning is looking great as the E/NE swell continues to ease under morning offshores ahead of a S/SE change.
This weekend and beyond (Nov 16 onwards)
There's not much expected over the weekend besides tiny and inconsistent levels of E'ly swell. Beyond this a deepening surface trough off the Northern NSW coast may drift south-east into the Central Tasman Sea and generate NE swell for us mid-late next week but we'll look at this again on Monday.