Submitted by Craig on Fri, 11/08/2013 - 13:38
Northern NSW and South East Queensland Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 8th November)
Best Days: Sunday morning, Monday morning, protected spots Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday morning
Small leftovers yesterday from the SE with morning offshores, while today the SE swell was on it's last legs with some fresh NE windswell in the mix.
This weekend (Nov 9-10)
Give the surf a miss tomorrow as winds will howl from the north whipping up a junky NE windswell.
Sunday will be the day to surf as winds swing light offshore early ahead of a shallow SE change that probably won't make it to Byron, with NE sea breezes kick in. The NE windswell should ease from a fun and peaky 2ft on the North Coast.
Next week (Nov 11-13)
As mentioned last update, a tricky weather system is expected to develop off the Mid-North Coast Sunday in the form of a deepening surface trough. This trough will actually form a low pressure centre, with a strengthening fetch of SE winds being aimed into the Southern NSW coast and on the periphery of the Mid North and North Coast's swell window (pictured top right).
This should produce a fun S/SE swell for Monday that will be larger on the Mid North Coast, grading smaller further north.
The low will start drifting south Monday but at dawn winds are expected to be onshore from Seal Rocks up to about South West Rocks, with offshores further north.
As the low moves south though a broad fetch of NE winds will move in towards the coast (picture bottom right) kicking up a solid NE swell for Tuesday and Wednesday. Winds won't be especially good though and from the N/NE through this period.
Longer Term (Nov 14 onwards)
The weather system responsible for all early next week's swells will weaken and break down mid-week resulting in a slow drop in E/NE swell into the end of the week as winds improve. We'll look at this again on Monday though.