Easing surf favouring the beaches, increased activity next week
Victoria Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 9th September)
Best Days: Beaches tomorrow and selected spots Friday, Saturday morning on the beaches, Monday through Thursday at least
Recap
A slow start to yesterday with clean conditions across the beaches at dawn, though quickly deteriorating. The Surf Coast was clean but tiny on the beaches early, better into the afternoon with a weak change and building swell to an inconsistent 2-3ft.
Today winds are onshore across all locations with a slow 2-3ft of swell on the Surf Coast, 3-5ft to the east.
This week and weekend (Sep 10 – 13)
We've got a mix of building W/SW swells today and we should see a peak in size this afternoon to a more solid though inconsistent 3ft on the Surf Coast swell magnets, 4-6ft to the east as winds remain moderate to fresh out of the S/SE.
Tomorrow is the pick for the beaches with the inconsistent mix of W/SW groundswell and mid-period energy due to ease from 2-3ft and 3-5ft respectively along with improving E/NE tending NE winds. With this the early might be a little lumpy and unorganised on the beaches but ironing out as the morning progresses.
We'll likely see winds tending variable early-mid afternoon ahead of late SE sea breezes.
Friday looks clean across selected spots with a fresher and possibly strong at times N-N/NE breeze but the swell will be smaller and lucky to be 1-2ft on the Surf Coast. The Mornington Peninsula should see a new pulse of inconsistent W/SW groundswell though, kicking back to 3ft during the day, if not a touch undersized early. Conditions will be a little wind affected though.
Saturday looks minimal with a new S/SW groundswell from a polar fetch of W'ly winds now looking unlikely with less favourable and weaker W/NW winds forecast to be aimed through our swell window.
A strengthening but south-east tracking low through our southern swell window Friday doesn’t look to generate any decent size either, with the Surf Coast due to remain around 1-2ft Saturday, 3ft to the east. Winds will look OK for the beaches early and out of the N'th, but a swing to the N/NW is due through the afternoon.
Come Sunday another very inconsistent, long-range W/SW groundswell is due to fill in, generated in the south-east Indian Ocean. The size of this swell isn't anything major and a peak is due into the afternoon, but a shallow change overnight Saturday looks to leave lingering onshore SW winds in any case.
Next week onwards (Sep 14 onwards)
The more promising developments into next week are on track, with a conveyer belt of polar frontal activity due to move in from the west over the weekend and through next week.
This will be linked to a drawn out node of the Long Wave Trough pushing in slowly from the west and just under us.
We'll see a bunch of strong polar fronts moving on top of each other, generating a moderate to large swell event from Monday through Thursday next week, likely peaking Tuesday/Wednesday. Size wise it looks to be in the range of 4-6ft across the Surf Coast and 6-8ft to the east, but more on this Friday.
Comments
All the kooks surfing se slop at T point with the police chopper hovering over them. Nice one guys. Jeez still hovering there such a waste of time and money.
social distancing enforcement or shark?
https://www.swellnet.com/surfcams/torquay
Surely not enforcement. Looks like only a handful of people in the water.
Yep there are a lot more ppl pushing prams and shit in the car park. They simply need to fuck off from the surf beach. Still would not surf in them trash conditions. Sitting in the car park reading a book would be the better option
I'm not sure there is a more self-entitled person than you NWS? Why don't you take your own advice you gave in a previous thread and "simply tell people to fuck off"?
Or to grab another ripper quote from you "Maybe we should just nuke Melbourne". You can just replace Melbourne with "ppl pushing prams and shit in the car park" and then you can happily have the beach to yourself to suit your own agenda because apparently your needs are more important than others.
I happily had 2-3km of beach on my own for two days this week and last week. The only local still had the nerve to come near me after my sesh then he goes and surfs a closeout in front of the car park while the banks were going off down the beach. I just gave him the thumbs up and smiled no contact and shit talk needed. This is how I surf before the virus.
which days did you have 2-3km of surf coast beach on your own this week?
it's been 1-2ft and onshore...
on the flat days i scored, the last 6 months has not been bad if you can travel to surf the beachies
Torquay is stage 3 what the fuck are you going On about about???
I mean to your people in prams comments
Stage 3 stage 4 it don't mean shit dan the dictator tries to implement new laws every week. I wear a mask most of the time I don't go near anyone and I stay home. Have not worked or gone to another person's house since April. The only thing I whine about is crowded waves while most people cry about not being able to exercise or all these new restrictions that will change you're business for ever. Anyway keep doing what you're doing guys the new world you are creating suits one of my personalities well
Social distancing i'd say. No shark alarm just hovering in one spot with the camera out. The cops need to come down and crack down on all the people exercising in the surfbeach car parks.
So...just wondering why you are down at the beach and yet you think no-one else should be?
I'm sitting in my car on my own with mask on. Without going into detail I am a lot safer from the virus out here in my car compared to being stuck in a share house with multiple randoms walking in and out of the house daily. Meh I will go home and sit in my room from 1pm -11pm not interested in working during this time of crisis
Fair enough. Try not to get cabin fever.....maybe you could have a nice walk along the beach later - when everyone else is locked up at home where they should be.
I do get super clusterphobic at home sometimes. Think I'd be pretty fked if I was stuck in Melbourne atm
So you’re sitting by yourself in your car with a mask on!!?? Winning!
Yep just chilling with my jason x hockey mask and sword jk jk
So you’re sitting by yourself in your car with a mask on!!?? Winning!
I'm sure the family of the deceased person found on the beach didn't think the helicopter was a waste of time.
Is there any info of this? I think that chopper was cruising around at 12am last night... wonder if lifeguards have been on patrol when the crowds are up
Another day and another insightful and thoughtful update from NWS
Keep it up NWS, We love hearing from you.
Are u sure the crew in the share house didn’t tell you to get out as they are sick of hearing your shite? Or do they love hearing your insights just like us?
Oh yeah I got epic waves down south yesterday. Had to go sus the secret spots because the council blocked the car parks again. Don't mind a lay day after that
They are pieces of shit who need to practice what they preach like most of their yuppi friends in this town. I thought I made that clear 4-5 yrs ago
The only thing you've made clear is that you're right on the spectrum........
Yeah, but aren't we all? Isn't that the definition of spectrum? At least we're getting some entertainment.
Ringmaster did you see the beachie I scored on Sunday? Not as good as down south but fuk it was good for around here.
Yep.....some surprisingly good options on Sunday around here early. I paddled out about 6.30 and had no complaints other than the consistency.
Haven't been down south for a while because....ya know....we're not sposed to.
Yep seemed good all morning and really did continue to pump through high tide late arvo. Anyway i better get used to surfing down there on my own then. Pretty earyrie being the only one on the beach in the middle of nowhere. Dunno why more ppl from Torquay are not doing the solo sesh. I'd rather be surfing with 2-3 blokes from Torquay then on my own down ther
Shut the front door mate all your doing is encouraging more people to go down there increasing the crowds keep it to yourself buddy
get fked i will tell who i want what i want. getting sick of surfing on my own
Oh and i will be heading down their with as many tourists as i can pack in my car this summer, will also be thinking about where i spend my money
Ok. Had my suspicions that your just trolling people but this basically confirms it.
Yea I troll trolls and burn them
You gotta admit it has gentrified. I miss the old Waurn Ponds shops uniform of trackie dacks and uggies (autumn/spring) and a full onesie (winter)
Can't say I've seen Onsie's down there, but uggies and trackies are still in vogue. All types last time I went. Busy as. Go for a cruise just south @ Armstrong and North Torquay when you have some time....Unrecognisable if you haven't seen it for a while.
Was at Torquay Bunnings an hour ago............in trackies and thongs.
Ugg boots parked in the foyer near the front door.
I think the ugg boots were Karens.
You think wrong.
and who the fuck is Karen?
You been living under a rock ringo?
https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=Karen
Ahhh....the Bunnings chick.
I forgot about that deadshit not long after I saw the story. Thanks heaps for the reminder.........
Reports of a mans body being found on the beach after a large scale search.
Not a joke - also not a waste of time or money.
That's a spam link icandig..
Hmm, I googled the source and it was OK, weird it goes to spam from me clicking above.
Sorry - I clicked it just now and it went to spam also. I've removed it - I'm sure it will hit the papers and news tomorrow.
So sad :( my deepest condolences to the individual and the family. 2020 has sure been tough on many and will continue too be so unfortunately.
RIP.
Sad indeed, Walk around.
Condolences to family and friends.
If I had the power of dan the dictator I'd start thinking about creating bubbles to protect regional areas from the city dogs. Like if ur in the Melbourne bubble you can travel interstate from city to city like melbourne-sydney-canberra. Regional crew not aloud in the city bubble but maybe let them travel to regional nsw. No international travel untill we figure out if it's viable to do the bubble thing. This might go on for years
thank fuck you don't have any power then
That has to be one of the dumbest ideas to grace the ever interesting Victorian Forecast Notes Comments section.
Still, dumb posts are interesting so please carry on.
You might find that our dumbass goverment might do that if sydney/Brisbane starts getting 50 cases a day in their city's next year. Victorian goverment already fked up big time. Can't blame dan for the things he is doing now, he is just the puppet. Another cuck will replace him soon anway. When I think about it we have already started doing this bubble bs bunch of victorian footy players in Queensland atm also vicco pro surfers about to compete in nsw
I figured someone would say that, you're right though. If regional victoria stays isolated from Melbourne and china i wonder how many business's on the great ocean road will survive? there will never be enough population in western/central vic to support them all. Think surf school's would have to be the last on the list to reopen kinda fked when you think about how many surf school's are in Torquay.