Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 9th September)

Best Days: Later Thusday/Friday morning, next week

Recap

Small to tiny surf the last couple of days between 1ft to occasionally 2ft with average winds yesterday, cleaner today. The S/SE groundswell came in as expected with only a small 1-2ft wave seen across Clifton today.

This week and weekend (Sep 10 – 18)

Tomorrow is expected to be around a similar size to today, but our small afternoon kick in SW swell is still on track, with a broad fetch of W/SW gales currently being generated to our south-west.

This should kick to 2ft later tomorrow, and then ease from a similar size Friday morning.

W/NW tending NW winds should keep conditions clean all tomorrow, with N/NW winds all day Friday.

From the weekend the surf is due to be tiny, with only a slight chance of a small kick in S/SW swell Sunday from a south-east tracking frontal system through Friday and Saturday.

This will be with favourable winds, but don't expect any decent size.

Longer term we've got some great swell due from Wednesday next week as a series of vigorous polar frontal systems fire up to our south-west into next week.

An initial broad fetch of W/SW gales should produce a fun SW groundswell for Wednesday morning to 3ft, but a much larger increase in SW groundswell is due later in the day and Thursday.

This will be produced by a broad fetch of severe-gale W/NW winds followed by storm-force W/SW winds projecting up towards us Monday through Wednesday next week, generating a large and powerful SW groundswell for later Wednesday and Thursday morning.

At this stage we're looking at Clifton reaching 4-5ft later in the day Wednesday, easing from a similar size Thursday morning.

Winds at this stage look to hold from the W/NW most of Wednesday with NW breezes Thursday, but we'll review this on Friday along with the swell size.