E swell keeps on coming
South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by James Casey (issued Monday 3rd May)
Best Days: Thursday, Sunday
- E trade swell to continue throughout the week
- Pulse of mid period E swell for Tuesday around the 3-4ft mark
- Another pulse of larger E swell on Thursday into Friday up towards 3-5ft, bigger south of the border, 5-6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for MNC
- E Pulse on Saturday sustaining waves around that 3-5ft mark, bigger south of the border, easing into Sunday
- More E swell to start the next week
The E swell jumped up to the 3-4ft mark over the weekend, peaking on Sunday. Winds were out of the S, more SW in the morning and more SE in the afternoon. South of the border winds were a bit more E making most options pretty bumpy. The MNC was a touch smaller, more in the 2-3ft range.
This morning waves are again in the 3-4ft range but a bit more defined and with more push. With winds light and offshore across the region there were decent waves to be had.
The E trade swell will continue throughout the week with the E swell pulsing and ebbing throughout. Generally speaking it will get a little less consistent as the swell source shifts further east but all in all it is looking like a decent run of waves.
An easterly trough low will form on Wednesday creating an intensification of E winds from Thursday onwards as it pinches the ridge of high pressure meaning there should be a more solid pulse of E swell for the end of the week and into the start of the weekend, biggest for the MNC.
Let’s break down each of the days ahead.
Tomorrow (Tuesday) will see a little pulse in the E swell, it’ll be a bit less consistent with the longer period but it should see waves up into the 3-4ft mark. Winds will be lighter and more SW across the coast, building out of the SE into the afternoon for SE QLD and more E/NE but lighter south of the border.
From Wednesday onwards we will see a more sustained pulse of mid period E swell keeping wave heights in that 3-4ft+ range into the weekend. Of more importance is the formation of the easterly trough low and its impact on winds and swell.
Winds on Wednesday will remain light and variable mainly out of the W/NW in the morning but with a stronger W/NW breeze strengthening from mid morning for SE QLD with winds remaining lighter and more variable south of the border. This could mean it’ll be a better day along the beachies than the points for SE QLD.
Thursday looks like there’ll be stronger W/SW winds for SE QLD but south of the border winds will be more out of the S/SW winds keeping things clean along the points and southern corners.
Winds will intensify around the eastern flank of the easterly trough low as it pinches the ridge bringing yet another E pulse with waves building into a peak on Friday morning reaching 3-5ft for SE QLD, 5-6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for the MNC.
Friday will start off with light W winds but tend more NW and strengthen as the day goes on, making it a little bumpy along the points, better for the beach breaks.
Into the weekend and beyond
The start of the weekend will see wave heights remain around 3-5ft for SE QLD, 5-6ft+ for N NSW and 6-8ft for the MNC. Winds on Saturday morning look like they’ll be light and offshore in the morning with a bit of NW once again making the points a little ruffled. In the afternoon winds will strengthen out of the N to NE. South of the border winds look more W/NW early but tend light and E/NE in the afternoon.
Sunday will see wave heights begin to ease towards the 3-4ft mark for SE QLD and towards the 4-6ft mark for south of the border. With winds light and variable in the morning there’ll be some waves on offer. Later in the day a weak onshore flow will pick up out of the E/SE, south of the border winds will pick out of the E/NE once again.
Monday will see an increase in E trade swell for the afternoon as the ridge to the north of NZ continues to provide a decent fetch of strong E winds directed at our coast. Expect waves up around the 4ft mark to continue, this time biggest for SE QLD, a little smaller down towards the MNC. A S change looks to move through around the start of the week cleaning things up along the points and with the seemingly non stop E swell from the ridge above NZ there should be some decent waves to be had.
Tune in on Wednesday for an update.