thermalben

Increased feast from the east, for Easter

South-east Queensland and Northern NSW Surf Forecast by Ben Matson (issued Monday 15th April)

Best Days: Wed PM onwards: building E'ly swell, though becoming wind affected at exposed spots (most prominently Fri onwards, more so in the north than in the south). Biggest surf Sat/Sun, easing Mon.

Recap: The weekend threw up some small fun peaky waves at a handful of beaches that were finely tuned for short range SE swells. Surf size was in the 2-3ft range out of the SE (in the north) and a small S’ly swell glanced Northern NSW’s south facing beaches both days, offering inconsistent but otherwise straight energy of a similar size. Winds were generally SW early, tending S’ly then SE throughout the day. Wave heights eased back from all sources this morning.

This week (April 16 - 19)

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

There’s really just one swell event worth considering this forecast period. And the good news for those of you heading away over the Easter break, is that it’s timed perfectly from Thursday onwards.

Prior until then, we’ll see small weak residual swells across the open beaches. There’s a smattering of minor, poorly consolidated E’ly fetches scattered across the Tasman Sea and they’ll all contribute a couple of feet of average, peaky surf for the next few days, but it’s not worth getting too excited about. If you’re keen to get wet, aim for a morning session whilst winds will be a little lighter and more around to the SW, before they swing S’ly then SE. 

Our Easter swell is being generated by a broadening E’ly fetch atop a large, stationary Tasman high, that’s expected to remain slow moving inside our swell window up until the weekend. Which means we’ll see E’ly swell through the entire holiday period.

A small increase is expected Thursday (2-3ft open beaches) but Friday is where we’ll start to see bigger surf pushing into exposed coasts, with 3-4ft surf throughout the day, possibly reaching 4-5ft very late (though more so into Saturday). Expect smaller waves running down the various points and into other sheltered spots.

As for local conditions, a persistent ridge across the coast this week will maintain moderate to fresh SE winds in the north, but it'll be a little lighter across the Mid North Coast. There’ll be early periods of SW winds across some regions, though the ridge will strengthen into Friday and this will increase wind speeds, and we may see a touch more east in the overall direction (remaining SE across the Mid North Coast). The chance for early periods of lighter SW winds will diminish slightly on Friday, but there’ll be a few locations still doing well for the early session (i.e. Southern Gold Coast). 

This weekend (April 20 - 21)

We’ll see a plateauing E’ly swell over the weekend, which should reach 4-5ft+ at exposed beaches later Saturday or perhaps early Sunday (smaller running down the points), with fresh and gusty SE winds in the south, tending more E/SE in the north. Locations south from Yamba will see a little less wind and a smidge less surf size. 

As per Friday, there’s a slim chance for isolated pockets of SW winds here and there. But for the most part this swell and wind combo will be best for sheltered points, and they’ll be a lot smaller. Outer points will be slightly more wind affected, but bigger and still worth the effort. 

Next week (April 22 onwards)

A gradual easing of swell and wind will occur early next week, though it looks like we’ll see a ridge hold steady through the Coral Sea, keeping SE Qld flush with small mid-range SE swell for much of next week.  

Elsewhere in our swell windows, and the broadscale steering patterns look conducive for further synoptic developments in the Tasman Sea, so it’s quite likely we’ll see fresh easterly swells from brand new sources next week too. 

All in all, we've got an active period ahead - just a shame that local winds aren’t perfect - but it’s a nice run of easterly swell ahead for some time.

See you Wednesday! 

Comments

thermalben's picture
thermalben's picture
thermalben commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 5:23pm

Gawd, what a terrible title. Sorry.

simba's picture
simba's picture
simba commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 5:36pm

here we go flat till thurs fri and then sse winds yippee.......one place to surf around here and it will be a circus by the looks......sort of wish it will be small or flat.

simba

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 5:42pm

I'm completely baffled by this autumn.

I really thought it might explode after that super lame summer but with all the latent heat build up in the Tasman sea.

SE change came through Wed last week and with a whole week of SE winds it's been small going down to tiny.
Not enough energy to move a single grain of sand into anything like normal autumn banks.
We've got the cool showery weather, typical autumn, but that weather usually comes with surf.
Fcuk it was close to dead flat this afternoon.

Tasman sea needs a defibrillator.

Another round of 3ft E swell from the top of a high and no banks. Huzzah.

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 6:35pm

Yawn......your war on seasonal weather patterns is hilarious... For a short time.....How about you STFU and ride a board to the conditions. You might even have fun..... Prob not based on your current mental state.

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:10pm

Boards are all sorted thanks DonkeyKong.

Any other sparkling contributions to make?

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:17pm

Only 1, u ready? Keep your whining to yourself. How about that FF?

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:25pm

Jog on cunt.

6 weeks into Autumn without a swell, I'll have a little whinge if I feel like it.

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:35pm

Ha......Mr Weather Guy, or Swell Guy. Please Internalise your negativity and use your stated quiver to enjoy whats on offer. Have fun that's what it's about?

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:42pm

I'm having fun here having a whinge. Isn't that what the internet is all about?

If a guy dedicated to surfing having a whinge about a lame autumn is too much neg for you maybe cut down on the internet.

Drive safe over Easter Donkey K and watch out for the drug testing vans.

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:49pm

So hurtful and mean, I feel like you are substituting me for your usual target (seasonal weather). I guess the waves were better back then.... Damn you current v future swells!

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:56pm

Hurtful and mean?
Just trying to pass on some helpful advice for Easter.

Drug cops will be out in force.

Stay safe and have fun.

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:13pm

You too, stay safe and hope you get some of the upcoming captured fetch, and utilise ur quiver

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:44pm

There's pretty much been 6 months of winds out of the NE quadrant, I think it's ok to say wtf.

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:24pm

Sounds like you are a sarfer from the UK, if you live on the east coast just STFU, u ain't got no idea. SE dominates, what's wrong with you?

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:25pm

You on the crack dinkydong?

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:35pm

Not ur brand surely. 6 mths northerlies. You sure you know ur ass from ur head, u melon?

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:59pm

Well for a start you don't seem to read so good.
Go and have a good look at the BOM site and get back to me.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:14pm

My face looked exactly like your avatar after discovering the delicious 8kg Estuary cod I just caught is declared endangered in NSW and I had to throw it back.

No cod for you !!!!

Surf looked small , but there would have been waves somewhere . Tore my shoulder getting driven into a sandbank on the weekend so the holiday punters can have it.

AndyM's picture
AndyM's picture
AndyM commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:29pm

I'm happy with the small waves and warm water at the moment - the girls outnumber the guys at the place where I've been surfing lately, so the vibe's been mellow and there's been waves to go around.
Plus, some of the ladies are gorgeous.

johnnygreebs's picture
johnnygreebs's picture
johnnygreebs commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 10:18pm

We pay for the privilege to whinge on here, so here goes. I've got a new (5 weeks) board that's riddled with pressure dings & hasn't been ridden in waves over waist height, in fucking prime surf season on the GC. Fuck this shitty Autumn!

Sam McBride's picture
Sam McBride's picture
Sam McBride commented Tuesday, 16 Apr 2019 at 6:48am

Amen!

Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67's picture
Surfalot67 commented Tuesday, 16 Apr 2019 at 8:24am

Nah I'm stoked. Leaving Cooly for Easter at Crescent. Just me and 300 of my besties, but we all know there are options aplenty down that way...if you're prepared to look about

The Fire's picture
The Fire's picture
The Fire commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:27pm

FR i dont live on your coast but keep a finger on its pulse so to speak and dude, you are the biggest neg on here.

Maybe mother nature is hinting at you to move elsewhere lol.

Either that or keep your negs inside your head.

I watched flawless 6ft right hand reef breaks go unridden yesterday. More waves than crew lol.

more like 'shacked-to-your-coast-ride-76' lol

Enjoy.

Peace maaaan..

freeride76's picture
freeride76's picture
freeride76 commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:31pm

Thats nice Fire, whereabouts?

No specifics, general area.

I'd cut a nut off and hand feed it to a goat to surf a 6ft reef break right now.

simba's picture
simba's picture
simba commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:49pm

Well it wasnt on the north coast thats for sure.......6 inches here.

simba

donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG's picture
donkeyKONG commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:52pm

1 inch there?

You pretty much asked for that!

redmondo's picture
redmondo's picture
redmondo commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 7:53pm

I,ve been watching six foot panic point.

Victory!

shoredump's picture
shoredump's picture
shoredump commented Monday, 15 Apr 2019 at 8:12pm

Spring is the new Autumn anyway

redmondo's picture
redmondo's picture
redmondo commented Tuesday, 16 Apr 2019 at 8:52am

I'm looking forward to an Easter-ly wave feast but will be fasting on Good Friday.

Victory!