Plenty of southerly swell to continue

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Eastern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Wednesday 31st July)

Best Days: South swell magnets tomorrow morning, early Friday, Sunday, Monday through Thursday

Recap

A good kick in new S'ly groundswell yesterday though with not the best winds for the magnets, better today with a reinforcing S'ly pulse to 3-5ft with excellent conditions.

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This week and weekend (Aug 1 - 9)

Today's S'ly swell will ease back through this afternoon and further tomorrow, with fun 2-3ft sets across the south magnets under a morning W/NW offshore. The afternoon will become bumpy with a S'ly change.

This change will be linked to a very strong low pushing quickly past the south-east corner of the state, projecting a burst of severe-gale to storm-force W/SW winds through our southern swell window.

A fleeting pulse of flukey S'ly groundswell may be seen late in the day tomorrow, but more so early Friday, dropping rapidly from 3-4ft across south swell magnets. Conditions will be great for these locations with a morning NW breeze, shifting W/NW through the day.

Now, moving into the weekend and early next week, the structure of the strong polar frontal progression to the south and south-east of has changed a little.

We've got an initial broad and short-lived burst of SW winds Saturday morning, possibly producing a small S'ly swell later in the day (3ft south facing with onshore winds), but a better fetch of S/SW gales moving up through our southern swell window into the afternoon and evening are due to generate a better S'ly groundswell for Sunday.

Size wise we're looking at surf to 4ft across south swell magnets, with a W/NW tending N'ly breeze, easing slowly Monday from 3-4ft with similar NW offshore winds.

The best pulse of S/SE swell looks to arrive Tuesday, generated by a polar fetch of severe-gale to storm-force S/SW winds on Saturday evening and Sunday morning, with south facing beaches due to kick back to 4-5ft+ through the day with persistent W'ly winds.

This swell will be slow easing through Wednesday and Thursday as favourable offshore W'ly winds persist. We'll go over this again on Friday though.