OK, before we get to the outlook, it’d be good to touch base on a few things regarding the current swell event. Mainly around expectations, and where they should be positioned.
So, here we are, on the cusp of a major winteresque swell (and weather) pattern.
TThe associated fetch is lining up in the best part of the Vicco swell window (relative to surf size and consistency), and will remain slow moving as it reaches maturity, drawn out over an impressive 30-odd hours or so, which helps to exaggerate eventual surf size above the usual model expectations. It's not a common event.
The outlook for early next week has improved a lot, thanks to a subtle shift in the timing of the main frontal passage.
Generally light variable winds all week should keep conditions clean across all coasts.
A funky weekend of wind and surf as a low stalls across Tasmania. Settling surf and winds with better options for the beaches next week.
An even spread of great surf over the coming week and a half, best across the protected spots this week and weekend, more exposed breaks next week.
Lots of swell with favourable winds for more protected spots from Wednesday. Better though windy on the beaches tomorrow.
We've got building surf over the coming period, smallest and weakest tomorrow, larger into later next week but as onshore winds move in.
A deepening, multi-centred mid-latitude low pressure system is currently developing south of the Bight, and is expected to kick off san impressive conveyor belt of Southern Ocean fronts and lows throughout the medium term period.