Forecast: Maui Pro
After a twelve-month hiatus, the Women’s Championship Tour kicks off where we last saw them - Honolua Bay, Maui. However, instead of being the season-closer - as it has been since it was introduced in 2014 - the Maui Pro is now the first stop on the 2020/21 Women’s CT.
The first swell of interest will be the largest swell of the Hawaiian season thus far, though it’ll hit two days prior to the start of the waiting period so we’ll only see this one on social media. At any rate it’s worth mentioning as it’ll provide very big waves at Honolua Bay under light easterly winds.
The storm that creates the swell forms just offshore from the Kamchatka Peninsula and deepens right in Hawaii's Goldilock's zone - midway between Kamchatka and the Aleutian Islands - moving unobstructed towards mainland America while creating a significant NW swell for Hawaii that’ll hit on the morning of December 2nd.
It goes without saying that locals will appreciate the timing.
By Thursday 3rd, size will be down to 10ft, and then further to 4-6ft by Friday the 4th, and with waves to double-overhead and a tradewind pattern it’s very likely the first day of the waiting period will also be the first day of competition.
Smaller and much weaker low pressure systems travelling in the wake of the main storm will maintain smaller waves over the next three days in the 4ft+ range. This will largely be accompanied with good wind so organisers will likely make hay through Friday, Saturday, and possibly even Sunday.
However, there’s the outside risk of a devil wind blowing up the face late Saturday and early Sunday as an approaching low turns winds towards the south. This will be the portent of the next round of swell.
Unlike the first swell mentioned, that forms just below the Bering Sea, the storm creating this swell will travel at the same latitude as the Japanese islands, hence closer to the Hawaiian Islands.
It's enough at this point to simply flag the swell as it's too distant to lock down specifics. We’ll keep a close eye on its development over the coming week.
Also, the Pipeline Masters - the first comp of the men's CT - begins on December 8th during an equally active swell period. We'll have a forecast for Pipe tomorrow.