Submitted by Craig on Wed, 12/04/2013 - 09:41
Victoria Forecast (issued Wednesday 4th December)
Best Days: Thursday morning, Friday morning, early Saturday, Sunday east of Melbourne, Tuesday
A slow increase in new swell was seen through yesterday with light onshore winds making for OK conditions across both regions most of the day. The Mornington Peninsula faired the best with the most size.
Today a secondary W/SW swell has come in at a fun 2ft around Torquay, 2-3ft at 13th Beach and 4-5ft on the Mornington Peninsula under early offshores. An onshore change is making its way across the state though and this will write off the surf for the rest of the day.
This week (Dec 4 – Dec 6)
Today's change is linked to a small mid-latitude low moving in from the west, and this will be overtaken by a stronger cold front pushing in from the west tomorrow. The low is generating a fun W/SW swell for tomorrow morning and winds should be good early and from the W/NW favouring the Surf Coast ahead of a strong SW change
The change will kick up an afternoon increase in windswell, with a quick drop in size expected Friday as winds swing W/NW across the Surf Coast but remain onshore from the W/SW everywhere else.
This weekend (Dec 7 onwards)
The surf will become small over the weekend and continue to drop out from the end of the week. The Surf Coast will be cleanest Saturday morning with a light W/NW breeze, but the swell will only be around 2ft.
Sunday will be good on the Mornington Peninsula with inconsistent 3ft waves and fresh N/NE tending N/NW winds.
Heading into next week we'll finally see some decent swell across the coast as a series of frontal systems push up from polar latitudes towards the Bight and then towards us from Sunday through most of next week (pictured right).
While not especially strong, the persistent nature of front after front will produce medium levels of swell for most of next week under a general W'ly airflow. Check back here Friday for more on this.