COVID-19 Health System Overload Forecaster

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Craig started the topic in Wednesday, 18 Mar 2020 at 7:44pm

I've created a spreadsheet forecast which I'll update as we go..

There's also a website with live running data.. https://sites.google.com/view/stayhomeaustralia

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Craig Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:23pm

You watch it BB, was Dave Pakman tearing Joe's off the cuff and dangerous remarks to bits.

And Indo it is dangerous when he's reaching 10's of millions of subscribers..

Blowin's picture
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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:28pm
indo-dreaming wrote:

Wasn't very convincing either way, more just a matter of opinion and definitely not dangerous.

Yep. It was spurious rubbish.

The fella couldn’t understand why pharmaceutical companies would jeopardise the necessity for vaccines with a Covid treatment when they make both. Here’s a hint bloke: the treatment might sell 50M units ( 100M? Worldwide) whilst the vaccines have been given over 8,000,000,000 times already, before they’ve sunk their teeth into developing countries and are mandated forever and to everyone multiple, endless shots unto infinity. Not to mention the 30% of vaccine doses which are wasted due to expiry etc….another multiple billion money spinners.

Who’s going to accept a mandated vaccine many times over with a chance of getting crook every time they take it when there’s a treatment they can take IF they happen to get sick.

Dangerous…..FFS.

Joe Rogan had covid and they helped cure him. They were prescribed and administered by doctors. Dare I say he knows more about the subject than Pakman.

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blindboy Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:27pm

I think that was probably once true Stok but these days we are getting carefully crafted conspiracies designed to appeal to an existing audience and to extend that audience. In the circumstances the responsible thing is to prevent its dissemination. Once it appears, by all means call it for what it is.

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blindboy Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:28pm

Blowin just made my point for me. One more rabbit hole for him to crawl down!

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:41pm

Lol

Says the bloke who still hasn’t figured out the difference between ARR ( Absolute Risk Reduction) and RRR ( Relative Risk Reduction) when he’s bleating his vaccine effectiveness rates. Get a clue bloke. You embarrass real scientists with your resolute ignorance.

Here’s how it works Bloke . Clinical studies for the vaccines measure RRR and not ARR. When you lay out your broadscale bullshit claim that “vaccines reduce the hospitalisation rate by 96%” you are talking pure generic dung.

As a healthy and fit 49 year old my chances of being hospitalised from covid are about 0.05%. The RRR means that the vaccination MIGHT take my chances of hospitalisation to about 0.001. That is the difference the vaccine makes to a healthy strong person on average.

You have confused the vaccine hospitalisation effectiveness with the ARR which is fuck all. Hey….no one has ever accused you of being the brightest spark.

Next you’ll probably quote the percentage hospitalisation rate for my age bracket whilst ignoring that the statistics are extremely skewed and totally unrepresentative due to the way the comorbid fat cnts send my age bracket hospitalisations through the roof. Lies, damned lies and statistics hey bloke.

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blindboy Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:34pm

The manipulative leading the gullible into the mire of confusion! Round and round we go. Fresh nonsense everyday here on Swellchan!

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:36pm
blindboy wrote:

The manipulative leading the gullible into the mire of confusion! Round and round we go. Fresh nonsense everyday here on Swellchan!

You are very impressed with your swellchan mashup. I’m glad someone thinks it’s clever.

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:44pm
Stok wrote:
blindboy wrote:

Great in so far as it plumbs new depths of bullshit? I mean do we really need to know every new variation of the billion conspiracy theories being pumped out by Trump's stooges? Probably not.

I'd say we do need to know about them all.

Conspiracies grow best in the shadows, shining a spotlight on them may save a few people.

Covid in Australia is less deadly than the flu. Who do you think you’re saving? If someone chooses to not get vaccinated and they die so what? It’s their life. Are you out there hand wringing about the fast food which is advertised and creating information which leads to tens of thousands of Australian deaths each year? Plus they’re advertised on the exact same shows which preach COVID DEATH PLAGUE 24/7.

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Stok Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:56pm
Blowin wrote:
Stok wrote:
blindboy wrote:

Great in so far as it plumbs new depths of bullshit? I mean do we really need to know every new variation of the billion conspiracy theories being pumped out by Trump's stooges? Probably not.

I'd say we do need to know about them all.

Conspiracies grow best in the shadows, shining a spotlight on them may save a few people.

Covid in Australia is less deadly than the flu. Who do you think you’re saving? If someone chooses to not get vaccinated and they die so what? It’s their life. Are you out there hand wringing about the fast food which is advertised and creating information which leads to tens of thousands of Australian deaths each year? Plus they’re advertised on the exact same shows which preach COVID DEATH PLAGUE 24/7.

Saving people from stepping into a realm where they falsely believe they can choose their own realities and facts, based on their googling and social media search skills.
You would've heard this (and rejected in 100 times already), but the fast food comparison falls apart in terms of infectiousness and chance of mutations (which is unique to viruses).

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blindboy Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 12:57pm

So what? Well they're a human being for a start and in some cases at least have been convinced by the type of misinformation, distortions and outright lies published here day after day. Given the level medical knowledge in many people, the information posted here is the equivalent of telling a blind man that the light is green to cross the road when it is red.....then there is the fact that the unvaccinated are infectious for much longer than the vaccinated and so are more likely to spread the disease to vulnerable people. Keep your head in the sand if you like but be prepared to get your (metaphorical) arse kicked.

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batfink Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:33pm
Blowin wrote:

Covid in Australia is less deadly than the flu.

Hmmm, fact check to aisle 3.

Number of flu deaths in 2020 and 2021 in Australia? I’m not going to look it up, we all know you could count them on a couple of hands, maybe have to take your shoes and socks off.

Number of Covid deaths in Australia in 2020 and 2021? A lot!

Fact check comes back as UTTER BULLSHIT!

Blowin, we had a lovely time without you. Now come back to me and compare flu deaths prior to 2020 to bolster your entirely spurious claim, and see if you can work out why such a rationalisation would be entirely spurious.

I bet you could if you tried, but so very little thought goes into your posts I doubt you will try. Actually reading stuff and trying to take it in isn’t what you do. Is it, Blowin.

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:46pm

Batfink- Another beige metrosexual boomer who vacillates between pearl clutching about unnecessary personal abuse on the forums and launching limp wristed passive aggressive personal abuse on the forums.

Bloke….you’re so beige that you’d disappear if you leant against a Scandinavian wardrobe. An Eastern suburbs house-pet pen pusher who didn’t come up for breath from his shitful accounting job until he was too old to get to his feet and go surfing. Excuse me if I discount the assessment of intelligence from that style of gronk.

It’s you who’s spent your life not thinking bloke.

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:57pm

“Now come back to me and compare flu deaths prior to 2020 to bolster your entirely spurious claim, and see if you can work out why such a rationalisation would be entirely spurious.”

Yeah and you can say….but but but everyone is vaccinated against covid!

And over 10 million vulnerable Australians weren’t vaccinated against the flu in 2018and the death rates weren’t too dissimilar.

I often wonder what sort of man would waste his life filling out TPS reports in triplicate Batfink. You answer the question!

AndyM's picture
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AndyM Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:54pm
Blowin wrote:

Batfink- Another beige metrosexual boomer who vacillates between pearl clutching about unnecessary personal abuse on the forums and launching limp wristed passive aggressive personal abuse on the forums.

Bloke….you’re so beige that you’d disappear if you leant against a Scandinavian wardrobe. An Eastern suburbs house-pet pen pusher who didn’t come up for breath from his shitful accounting job until he was too old to get to his feet and go surfing. Excuse me if I discount the assessment of intelligence from that style of gronk.

It’s you who’s spent your life not thinking bloke.

Fuck blowin, you really know how to make friends and irritate people.

Blowin's picture
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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 2:04pm
AndyM wrote:
Blowin wrote:

Batfink- Another beige metrosexual boomer who vacillates between pearl clutching about unnecessary personal abuse on the forums and launching limp wristed passive aggressive personal abuse on the forums.

Bloke….you’re so beige that you’d disappear if you leant against a Scandinavian wardrobe. An Eastern suburbs house-pet pen pusher who didn’t come up for breath from his shitful accounting job until he was too old to get to his feet and go surfing. Excuse me if I discount the assessment of intelligence from that style of gronk.

It’s you who’s spent your life not thinking bloke.

Fuck blowin, you really know how to make friends and irritate people.

Huh? Every single time he comes out guns blazing with a lettuce leaf personal attack on me. I’ve yet to address him but he goes straight in for the kick. Check the above posts. Stock standard Batfink. That’s all fine by me but he’s got to expect a bit of pushback surely?

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Stok Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:59pm

Isn't there a book about that?

Pretty funny crack to be honest, I had a good little chuckle there blowin.

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Stok Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 1:59pm

Isn't there a book about that?

Pretty funny crack to be honest, I had a good little chuckle there blowin.

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Blowin Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 2:01pm
Stok wrote:

Isn't there a book about that?

Pretty funny crack to be honest, I had a good little chuckle there blowin.

Why thank you. I had a chuckle whilst I was writing it.

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burleigh Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 2:50pm

Just dropped in to remind everyone that im 100% free from any adverse reactions & 99.8% free from Covid killing me. Thats pretty good odds.
My local cafes will not be enforcing any unjust rules from Pallachock and i dont give a fuck about going to the pub or being around unvaxxinated people.

Fun waves the last few days and i'm healthy.

Life is good,

indo-dreaming's picture
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indo-dreaming Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 2:58pm
Blowin wrote:
indo-dreaming wrote:

Wasn't very convincing either way, more just a matter of opinion and definitely not dangerous.

Yep. It was spurious rubbish.

The fella couldn’t understand why pharmaceutical companies would jeopardise the necessity for vaccines with a Covid treatment when they make both. Here’s a hint bloke: the treatment might sell 50M units ( 100M? Worldwide) whilst the vaccines have been given over 8,000,000,000 times already, before they’ve sunk their teeth into developing countries and are mandated forever and to everyone multiple, endless shots unto infinity. Not to mention the 30% of vaccine doses which are wasted due to expiry etc….another multiple billion money spinners.

Who’s going to accept a mandated vaccine many times over with a chance of getting crook every time they take it when there’s a treatment they can take IF they happen to get sick.

Dangerous…..FFS.

Joe Rogan had covid and they helped cure him. They were prescribed and administered by doctors. Dare I say he knows more about the subject than Pakman.

100% that's the lines i was thinking.

But also the artificial shortage aspect: Well yeah it sounds like there is, if there is a shortage why not put more money into developing more supply????

He admits it's an effective treatment, just picking on Joe for over selling it, but anyone can say exactly the same about Covid vaccines they are effective to a certain extent, but have also been completely over sold to us.

The financial aspect, your thoughts were exactly the same as mine, except you added a few aspects i hadn't thought of but yeah, what's more profitable and attractive to pharmaceutical companies vaccines for everyone with ongoing boaster shots, or this medication sold to those who have Covid???

It's not a conspiracy theory to suggest pharmaceutical companies are more interested in vaccines and boasters than medication that may help, it just makes more business sense, and that's what they are a business.

Is it dangerous what Joe is saying?

Most people are going to get vaccinated and i think people should get vaccinated, but there is many people that choose not too, so in my view people should know about and have access to medications that helps if they get Covid, not providing this information and not providing supply is more dangerous.

So no its nether dangerous or a conspiracy theory, its just a matter of opinion and outlook.

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shortenism Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 3:27pm

Its fascinating that in another thread on here today I noted VL suggest that 'Scomo was the most corrupt PM in history'..

Yet on the other hand, VL is a fanatical supporter and promoter of Scomo and his mates perpetual pillar of shit fkery being COVID19... Bizarre.

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Patrick Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 4:00pm

I think VL also thinks racism and sexism is ok as long as the person is apologetic about it.

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goofyfoot Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 5:59pm
Stok wrote:

Isn't there a book about that?

Pretty funny crack to be honest, I had a good little chuckle there blowin.

Yeah if I’m being honest so did I :-0

I also think it won’t be long until blowin has another red cross or whatever it was above his name ha ha ha

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indo-dreaming Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 6:06pm

(a few days old) But this is a pretty good video on the data from South African cases of Omicron

Cut and pasted from video description.

"Full summary in the first few minutes of this video, its good news

examination of the 166 patients admitted since the Omicron variant arrived

snapshot of the clinical profile of 42 patients

currently in the COVID wards at SB

The majority of hospital admissions are for diagnoses unrelated to COVID-19.

The SARS-CoV-2 positivity is an incidental finding in these patients and is largely driven by hospital policy requiring testing of all patients requiring admission to the hospital.

76% of patients are incidental COVID admissions.

This very unusual picture is also occurring at other hospitals in Gauteng.

The high proportion of COVID incidental admissions
may reflect higher rates of community transmission compared to previous waves (variants)

that is not translating into higher admission rates for a primary COVID-19 diagnosis.

Tshwane District Omicron Variant Patient Profile - Early Features

4th December
https://www.samrc.ac.za/news/tshwane-...

There has been a significant rise in new SARS-CoV-2 infections in the Gauteng Province in the last four weeks

which has been attributed to Omicron variant announced on 24 November 2021

The first cases of Omicron were detected in the Tshwane District

The City of Tshwane Metropolitan Municipality is the metropolitan municipality that forms the local government of northern Gauteng Province, South Africa

The Metropolitan area is centred on the city of Pretoria with surrounding towns and localities

population of 2,708,702 people

This is where the 4th wave started

Tshwane has been the global epicentre of the Omicron Outbreak

cases rising exponentially over several weeks

41,921 cases by 3 December

29 November to 3 December 2021

Cases + 9,929 reported in Tshwane

Steve Biko/Tshwane District Hospital Complex in Pretoria

in the heart of the Tshwane District

statistics presented by the Gauteng Department of Health on 2 December 2021

for the province as a whole,

and with admissions across all public and private hospitals in Tshwane

we have seen a sharp rise in admissions

Between 14th and 29th November 2021

166 new admissions

Patient information presented here only represents the first two weeks of the Omicron wave in Tshwane

The clinical profile of admitted patients could change significantly over the next two weeks,

by which time we can draw conclusions about the severity of disease with greater precision.

The main observation that we have made over the last two weeks is that the majority of patients in the COVID wards have not been oxygen dependent.

SARS-CoV-2 has been an incidental finding in patients that were admitted to the hospital for another medical, surgical or obstetric reason.

A snapshot of 42 patients in the ward on 2 December

29 (70%) are not oxygen dependent

These patients are saturating well on room air,

and do not present with any respiratory symptoms.

‘incidental COVID admissions’

having had another medical or surgical reason for admission.

Thirteen (13) patients are dependent on supplemental oxygen

of which nine (21%) have a diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia

All are being prescribed steroids as the mainstay of therapy.

The remaining 4 patients are on oxygen for other medical reasons

This is a picture that has not been seen in previous waves.

Past 3 waves

only been a sprinkling of patients on room air in the COVID ward

The numbers of patients in high care on double oxygen, High Flow Nasal Oxygen or non-invasive ventilation (NIV) were noticeably higher in previous waves.

This is anecdotal but confirmed by numerous clinicians who have previously worked in the COVID wards in the hospital complex.

Of 38 adults in the COVID wards on 2 December

6 were vaccinated

24 were unvaccinated

8 had unknown vaccination status

Of 9 patients with COVID pneumonia

8 are unvaccinated

1 is a child

Only a single patient on oxygen was fully vaccinated but the reason for the oxygen was Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

An analysis of 166 patients admitted 14 -29 November 2021

80% of admissions were below the age of 50 years

19% were children aged 0-9 years

28% of total admissions, 30-39 years

In-hospital death rate

10 deaths in the SBAH/TDH cohort in the past two weeks,

making up 6.6% of the 166 admissions.

Four deaths were in adults aged 26 – 36

Five deaths were in adults over 60

One death was in a child in whom the cause of deaths was unrelated to COVID.

There were no COVID related deaths among 34 admissions in the paediatric COVID wards over the last two weeks.

Gauteng Province as a whole

Level of care

There were only 2 patients in the COVID ICU in the last 14 days,

neither of whom had a primary diagnosis of COVID pneumonia.

Much shorter average length of stay

2.8 days for SARS-CoV-2 positive patients admitted to the COVID wards over the last two weeks

compared to an average length of stay of 8.5 days for the past 18 months"

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Supafreak Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 6:31pm

@indo , it’s very interesting reading different takes from various doctors and scientists on how omicron is performing . Some are saying it’s mild and less virulent than delta , while others are cranking up the dial on how bad it “ potentially is “ with no data to back up their fear campaign . Moderna and Pfizer have opposite views on how effective their vaccines will be but governments are full steam ahead with boosters and vaccination for 5 to 11 year olds regardless. Australia has given the green light for Moderna boosters for 18 years old and up , while 6 European countries have not recommended it at all for under 30 . Makes you wonder how health agencies can differ so much on the same drug.

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indo-dreaming Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 7:32pm

@Supafreak

100% agree

On the flip side you get stuff like this.

"A top US epidemiologist has issued a dire warning to those unconcerned about the new Omicron Covid variant rapidly spreading across the globe, describing the notion that it’s a milder version of the disease as a “sweet little lie”."

“Hospitalisations in children are about sixfold higher than previous waves. Omicron is not mild in any way … It’s already outpacing the previous waves, even despite higher vaccination rates. The data is very bad, and we have to not try to want to believe in the sweet little lies that we hear that it’s mild – it’s not.”

https://www.news.com.au/entertainment/tv/current-affairs/the-project-gue...

How can the views be so different from qualified people?

But it just doesn't add up when you hear/read the data from South Africa and they are weeks ahead, if it was really that bad they would be seeing the effect already.

So why does he say this?

Seems it might also be in Victoria community, fuck i hope so lets get this over with, it better be in Indo too, otherwise they are going to make it hard to get in during 2022

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truebluebasher Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 9:03pm

Roll up yer sleeves & spare a band-aid now break out into a sweat .... Happy Birthday Vax
The warp speed baby shower for our snap frozen Test Tube Baby Messiah.

27th June Vax reached it's peak at (.55/100) @ 7.8% Full / 15% part Vaxed
16th Oct Vax bottomed out (.27/100) Mostly in decline as it is again now!
1st Birthday Vax is 45% Fully Vaxed / 55% Part Vaxed > Has seen better days & looks beat!
Currently 34m doses/day > 24,000 doses/min > 400 doses/sec (Oz 60 doses/min > 1 dose/sec)
World Covid infections are soaring and deaths are climbing.
Even Hi Vax heroes Oz cases/Deaths are climbing again.
World is tipping mid 2023 to be fully vaxed or should Covid wither first!

Blurred shortened Phase trials + Not so Blind left out on counter samples to FX Hotline of No Replies.
World Vax 1st Phase Chapter & many other chapters remain censored. (Greatest affront on Science!)
No one at Vax Party is game enough to ask why Vax birth Certificate dates 11th Jan (Wot a riot!)
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations
UK / US / Oz are too embarrassed to share their Baby's Vaccination Cards.
No record of UK 1st mth Jabz or Oz first 2 mths of Jabz or US 2nd Jabz = (Govt's Unvaxed Devil Child?)
https://www.smh.com.au/national/australia-s-daily-covid-19-vaccine-rollo...
Experts Mandate individuals to record Vax or Jail..While Experts hide away #1 World Vax records?

Vax Incubation > Immune Escape > Break Thru > Wane Phases are all absent from Govt Vax Cards?
25% o/s Vax infections or 10x Vaxed Home Patient infections must never stain Breaky TV Vax cue cards.
Exposure Sites > Hot Spots are now wiped off Maps. (Science Heroes dumbed down to Zeros)

Vaxes / Development 524 > Pre Clinical 194 > 1/2/3 Candidates -132 > Phase 3 -28 / Phase 4 -10
(Oz Trials 12 + Oz o/s Trials 10)
194 Nations approved 28 vaccines. (Big Big Pharma Distribution #1 > #6 )
Vax #1 Sinovac 2.16b #2 AZ 2.096b #3 Pfizer 1.97b #4 Sinopharm 1.886b #5 Moderna #6 Sputnik

#1 Vax Hesitants WHO have refused 71% of Approved 28 Vaxes to limit VIP vax to fav Big 8 vaxes.
This can be seen as as greatest distrust of Vax Science if WHO discredit 71% of Covid Vaccines!
Covax accepts 14 vaccines but the new vaxes are kept to small consignments
Covax disguises as a front for an Offshore vax Vault or Swiss Vax account.
Meant to be a Vax soup Kitchen for the poor but went bad real quick.
Covax Distribution '% Rates' > Wealthy 78.8% > Low-Middle Income 38.8% > Low Income 15.4%
Big Pharma Distribution '% Share' > Wealthy 51.7% > Middle Income 31% > Low Income 14.9%
However! Due to VIP Vax Dump by Dates...only 6.3% of poor nations have had 1 dose.
Chart below shows many 0-5% Nations...

China are #1 Donors but are left off Rap sheets + Oz gloats about Covax but also keep off Rap Sheets.
Both China + Oz (Aukus) donate secretly & directly, albeit politically to strategic Pacific Nations.
Sure! It looks suss...that Big Mouth & Big Hearted Oz / China don't feature on Covax Donor List.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covax-donations?country=FRA~ESP~SWE~U...
Quadz stock the Oz CoVax packs full of Digital Biometrix Rollout for Troops- Ports / Runways / Q Camps
Pacific Pandemic Politicization has nothing to do with The War on ChYNa...oops, Cold War on Covid.
AUKUS donate to buy back Doses when supply runs short. (World : "Oz deprived Africa of 2 mths Vax!")
Covax Commonwealth Nations alone have deprived Africa of 8 months Vax + Delayed 4 months Vax.
Vax has spawned the greatest racial minority injustices of our time & it's only getting worse! Go Oz!

Following Nations Data omissions from Vax % Chart (Explanations)
Micronesia > Pre/Post = 0 Covid + Supply Ships & Lack of Health Postings delay up to date Covid Data.
Small / *Large isolated populated Islands are included as a group + Anomaly
Data Corruption (Vax) 10%+ Tajikistan 30%+ Nicaragua 40%+ Laos 50%+ Taiwan 80%+ China 80%+
This goes without saying....0-2 deaths during National rollouts are being questioned by World.
Included Data, but under Suspicion (24/7 Gateways) > 40%+ Panama 50%+ Hong Kong 60%+ Qatar
eg: (#1 Flights Qatar-Airlines) Brew every Variant and are the VOC gateway for every World Outbreak

Presents as international Covid Strategy > Climate / Wealth / Travel / Lockdowns / Vax / Masks - etc.
Rollout was celebrated and Politically Mandated / opened alongside similar 10% increments.
10% Vax Political Guidelines adopted over less accountable (Incubating - Escape -Waning Calendar)

Vax % / # Nations (Grouped % Avg) Infections / Death Rate
0-5% (27 Nations) 1/ 942 infections > 1/ 47,732 deaths
5-10% (11 Nations) 1/ 362 infections > 1/ 21,241 deaths
10-20% (13 Nations) 1/ 99.5 infections > 1/ 6,018 deaths
0-20% Salute All these low Vax Nations that currently maintain Covid to less 1,000 cases/day
.........................................................................................................................................................................................
20-30% (19 Nations) 1/ 58.4 infections > 1/ 2,575 deaths
30-40% (18 Nations) 1/ 24.8 infections > 1/ 1,353 deaths
40- 50% (10 Nations) 1/ 12.5 infections > 1/ 867 deaths
50-60% (13 Nations) 1/ 19.2 infections > 1/ 974 deaths
................................................................................................................................................................................................
50%+ #1 Covid Spreaders (13) 1-5,000/day > (8) 5-10,000/day > (12) 10-50,000/day (4) 50,000+/day
Note High Vax Nations also super spread Mass VOC's faster to Rule Top 30 Delta Spikes.

60-70% (27 Nations) 1/16.5 infections > 1/1034 deaths
70-80% (11 Nations) 1/ 30.3 infections > 1/ 3,093 deaths
80-90% (17 Nations) 1/ 20 infections > 1/ 1967 deaths (Without 3 Large isolated Islands)
(+ *3) (*Oz *NZ *Iceland) 1/ 44 infections > 1/ 8,478 deaths (With *3 Large isolated Islands Anomaly)
90-100% (4 Nations) 1/ 8 infections > 1/ 2,177 (Wealthy Islands to UAE ) Odd, but balanced sample!

Chart Notes : tbb did detail & examine every nation & can vouch Nations % reflect flow in the Chart.
All other Nations / Islands never seemed outta place or context (re: Outed nations are shown above!)
Low Vax wastelands of 1/ 3,000 infections (vs) Nest eggs of Booster Islands sprouting 1/ 5 infections.
All more normal than not...rather scary to share such, but yes! Back 2 Front is the order of the day!

Vax does seem to rapidly increase worldwide infection rates just as chart shows. (No tricks!)
Belgium recently reported ALL of it's Highest Vaxed regions of 80%+ vax we're the most infectious.
News like that shows Honest Nations that wish to learn why! Most Nations bury High Vax infections!

CDC Travel Risk shows High Vax Nations as #1 Highest Travel Risk
Low vaxed Nations [1] Low 43 [2] Moderate 15 [3] High 57 [4] Very High 83 (High Vaxed Nations)
Shows more Vax has made the world a more dangerous place to Travel...(Blue Planet is Glowing Red)
Vax is fast shutting down the VIP's World...how long can Experts hide a Whole Planet? Just Give Up!
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/map-and-travel-notic...

Low Covid nations are generally Humid or Hot with high Youth Pop' with past use by date Vax doses.

Sudden dry inland wind change drops winter Humidity (Below 18'/ 57%) aerates and lipids the Covid.
Sudden Sea Salt air wind change rises winter Humidity (Above 20'/ 60%) drops Covid to the ground

Islands can trap Ultra High Covid as 1 in 4 Death Traps or relax as isolated Pacific Covid free hideaways.
Booster Havens have wealthy lock down VIP VISA Escapees infecting 1/4 1/5 1/6 /1/7 (a real mess!)
Crew need no reminding that WA has lost any Covid it never had as Vax Coast sinks in a Sea of Covid

Additional
Many Low Vax Nations naturally share Low / Less Cases Post Rollout (As walled off states- WA!)
Some rare (High Vax) Nations bizarrely claim Lower Cases & Deaths post Vax rollout.
China / Qatar / Panama / Saudi Arabia (Yes! Any one or all of those!) Sorry Vax! No one is buying it!
Even if Qatar / Panama / Saudi Post Vax data rings true! ( Extra 1-200,000 infections is no Vax Advert )
Just saying there is No Make Believe Vax World of lower Covid & Death...even the biggest fool sees that!

World Vax Birthday
(Pre Vax) 219,973 cases / day > (1st Birthday) 545,069 cases / day (148 % more infections with Vax)
(Pre Vax) 5,285 deaths / day > (1st Birthday) 9,983 deaths / day ( 89% more Deaths with Vax)

UK Vax Birthday Boost - (CDC) [4] Very High Risk
(Pre Vax) 5,541 cases / day > (1st Birthday) 24,314 cases / day (339% more cases + currently rising)
(Pre Vax) 196.5 deaths / day > (1st Birthday) 232.3 / day (18.2% more deaths + currently rising)
UK cases present 129% more infectious than lower World Vax rate but less fatal rate.

Oz (CDC) [3] High Risk
(Pre Vax) 74.5 cases / day > (Current) 663 / day (790% more infections with Vax)
(Pre Vax) 2.34 deaths / day > (Current) 4.03 / day (72% more Deaths with Vax)

Oz VIP Vax Mandate spreads 434% more Covid than lower world Vax rate but less fatal.
Comes as a shock considering Oz had WR Border lockdowns. (Always More Vax = more Covid!)

Inside out back 2 front Vax spreads buckets more Covid infections resulting in more Death.
No Expert would seriously argue against their own #1 largest & best ever Vax Data!
Any expert still proclaiming Vax reduces Covid & Death must quit spreading dangerous lies!
Data is updated each & everyday and has never once shown a Vaxed world of less infection or death!
If Experts can show a Nation or World where Vax has reduced Covid infection and Death then sell it!

All get that a vaxed person has a chance to survive but World Vax infection / kill rate is too high a price.
To ignore this increasing Vax toll is both cowardly and inhumane...we must show we care, here & now!
We have no future by turning our backs on increasingly horrific Mass Vax infection!
tbb has said such from day one & it's now it's the Elephant in the room at Vax Birthday Party.

Sadly Oz couldn't back up any 1 year Vax Warranty
Almost all Vax Data is Censored...BT/Wane /o-s/ Hot Spots / Exposures grew too large to handle.
Oz Govts long surrendered Vax Science from Feb onward...massaging Vax Data is a growth industry.

Qld Govt rewards VIP's that {Do the Right Thing}
World Vax law says to avoid Vaxing if yer unwell, so tbb donates Vax to Frontline Emergency. (Nope!)
Right means to Smash thru the Police State border then Hunt down & infect any bedridden hesitants.
tbb is getting sick of hearing about nice Bullies every night...starting to believe Hate is #1 Govt Policy?
Mandatory sign off...All Hail Vax!

Supafreak's picture
Supafreak's picture
Supafreak Wednesday, 8 Dec 2021 at 9:32pm

Hospital staff in Spain held a Christmas party, and 68 ICU nurses later tested positive for COVID-19.
A total of 173 people attended. Authorities said they are still confirming the source of infection.
Everyone had presented a negative antigen test or had a booster COVID-19 shot, Reuters reported. https://www.businessinsider.com/spain-icu-nurses-test-positive-coronavir...

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 7:43am

Australia will lock down after the Christmas holidays consumer spending opportunity and after the mass immigration resumption has a decent chance to firehose some wage suppression into the nation.

Put me down for a May lockdown in NSW. . I’d say that after the election and perhaps even an Easter consumer spending opportunity is likely.

That’s when the language about vaccine passports will harden and our social credit system will be up and running.

Hiccups's picture
Hiccups's picture
Hiccups Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 9:06am
Blowin wrote:

Australia will lock down after the Christmas holidays consumer spending opportunity and after the mass immigration resumption has a decent chance to firehose some wage suppression into the nation.

Put me down for a May lockdown in NSW. . I’d say that after the election and perhaps even an Easter consumer spending opportunity is likely.

That’s when the language about vaccine passports will harden and our social credit system will be up and running.

kewl story bro

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 1:20pm
Blowin wrote:

Australia will lock down after the Christmas holidays consumer spending opportunity and after the mass immigration resumption has a decent chance to firehose some wage suppression into the nation.

Put me down for a May lockdown in NSW. . I’d say that after the election and perhaps even an Easter consumer spending opportunity is likely.

That’s when the language about vaccine passports will harden and our social credit system will be up and running.

Yep, we're 6 month behind Europe. look whats happening there then you know whats coming.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 1:46pm

It’s coming.

Boris Johnson just introduced harsh restrictions for the UK specifically because of omicron hospitalisation numbers in South Africa.

This is despite the South Africans being clear that their covid hospital numbers have absolutely nothing to do with covid related illness and are literally just an account of how many people in hospital have tested positive for covid. It shows exactly how low the bar for personal freedoms vs covid measures is now set. No semblance to rationality nor proportion.

Shit be crazy.

Disturbing watching the different techniques various governments are using to introduce the Social Credit. System Digital ID being introduced as a “covid passport”.

Supafreak's picture
Supafreak's picture
Supafreak Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 2:24pm

F76006-A7-37-F3-4-CCE-87-DE-EB6695-A0-EEF0

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 2:27pm

Absolutely sickening. Im glad i will NEVER get on this booster registration and as time goes by i guarantee people will begin to question and doubt what is happening. Fuck i even have hope for VicLocal.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 2:40pm
Supafreak wrote:

F76006-A7-37-F3-4-CCE-87-DE-EB6695-A0-EEF0

That’s excellent

Stok's picture
Stok's picture
Stok Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 2:45pm

Yet it begins again.

Out come the cry babies, wishing and praying for this problem to go away so badly, that they go into denial.

'But....but....covid is still a thing!!? My attention span requires a death rate of 50% and/or for this to all be over within a week or so for me to really comprehend it!!!! I know, I'll search out some comforting facts: Oh, here we go, this website says this new variant is not too bad, I'll cherry pick that one, also, it Sky News commentators have said I should direct my confused anger at the Labour Government, it's their fault - Sack Dan Andrews/Paluchek/McGowan!'

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 3:12pm
Stok wrote:

Yet it begins again.

Out come the cry babies, wishing and praying for this problem to go away so badly, that they go into denial.

'But....but....covid is still a thing!!? My attention span requires a death rate of 50% and/or for this to all be over within a week or so for me to really comprehend it!!!! I know, I'll search out some comforting facts: Oh, here we go, this website says this new variant is not too bad, I'll cherry pick that one, also, it Sky News commentators have said I should direct my confused anger at the Labour Government, it's their fault - Sack Dan Andrews/Paluchek/McGowan!'

Or,…you could just accept that the whole deal is 90% piss take.

Roker's picture
Roker's picture
Roker Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 3:46pm

Jacinta rallying to the cause of the freedom fighters who ring the talk back and demand governments counter vax apartheid by implementing apartheid against the obese and anyone who makes unhealthy lifestyle choices. You know, deny them hospital treatment, tax them into penury, ban this, ban that, etc.

NZers will no longer be free to smoke cigarettes.

What next? No longer free to drink alcohol, obviously. And junk food. No longer free to undertake ‘action sports’? Maybe. A potentially unhealthy lifestyle choice after all - liable to encumber the health system.

Go Jacinta! This is just the beginning.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/09/new-zealand-to-ban-smoking...

Island Bay's picture
Island Bay's picture
Island Bay Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 6:00pm
Roker wrote:

Jacinta rallying to the cause of the freedom fighters who ring the talk back and demand governments counter vax apartheid by implementing apartheid against the obese and anyone who makes unhealthy lifestyle choices. You know, deny them hospital treatment, tax them into penury, ban this, ban that, etc.

NZers will no longer be free to smoke cigarettes.

What next? No longer free to drink alcohol, obviously. And junk food. No longer free to undertake ‘action sports’? Maybe. A potentially unhealthy lifestyle choice after all - liable to encumber the health system.

Go Jacinta! This is just the beginning.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/09/new-zealand-to-ban-smoking...

She's nuts. NZ is going down the gurgler.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 6:40pm

The New Zealand Temperance Society has been called to arms!

First they came for the smokers and I said nothing because I’m not a smoker etc etc.

I reckon durry smoking is the most pointless, wasteful and destructive exercise a person could ever participate in but I’m wary of this being the start of a slippery slope. Almost all would agree the world would be better off if smoking weren’t a part of it for future generations. I’m also sure there’s many would say the same for drinking to excess. Or drinking piss full stop. Or sugar free fast food. Or eating too much. Or …..whatever your personal indulgence/ vice is that other people can take or leave.

The ideology of absolutism, particularly when it’s ascribed to denying others their bodily autonomy and life choices, makes me very uncomfortable at best and pretty fucken angry the rest of the time.

Blowin's picture
Blowin's picture
Blowin Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 6:42pm
Roker wrote:

Jacinta rallying to the cause of the freedom fighters who ring the talk back and demand governments counter vax apartheid by implementing apartheid against the obese and anyone who makes unhealthy lifestyle choices. You know, deny them hospital treatment, tax them into penury, ban this, ban that, etc.

NZers will no longer be free to smoke cigarettes.

What next? No longer free to drink alcohol, obviously. And junk food. No longer free to undertake ‘action sports’? Maybe. A potentially unhealthy lifestyle choice after all - liable to encumber the health system.

Go Jacinta! This is just the beginning.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/09/new-zealand-to-ban-smoking...

Did you really just blame the people who have argued against the Horse Head’s initial forays into authoritarianism for her expanding authoritarianism?

FFS

Heaven forbid we should point the finger at the problem itself.

blindboy's picture
blindboy's picture
blindboy Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 7:38pm

More misogyny. Still living in the 70s mate? Shirley's dead digger! The world has moved on........and here you are spouting obnoxious shit day after day. What have you got this evening? OK place your bets.

Indorelaparoscopy's picture
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Indorelaparoscopy Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 9:09pm

The study used data on daily confirmed COVID-19 deaths from WHO websites and local and national governments; data on hospital capacity and utilization for US states; and observed COVID-19 usage data from select locations to develop a statistical model predicting deaths and hospital use against capacity by the state for the US

truebluebasher's picture
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truebluebasher Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 10:28pm

Cruisin' USA with Covid.
1st May CDC censored all testing and recording of Vaccinated Break Thru / Waning Cases.
This CDC censorship extended onto Cruise Ships.
Passengers complain they're not told of cruise outbreaks until passengers are dumped at Foreign Port.
It is the Foreign Port that informs them of any Cruise Covid Status never the Company!

tbb went searching for any hidden CDC cruise records...
Just as a starter! Most ships require Full Vax + Industry settled for "Political > 95% vaxed "
Due to the fact that most Cruise passengers are half dead & pack a dozen vax exemptions!
*Crew were often spreading the Covid amongst themselves, by day 3 > onto passengers...
*Crew then often service these Private VIP cabins that backwash the Covid.

There are 2 sets of Data sharing the same start date + some loose extra Data.
26th June - 26th Aug > 452 cruise infections
26th June - 21st Oct > 1,359 cruise infections
Ship Total (Only) 1,359 cases (Breakdown) 49 Hospital cases + 38 Medi Vacs + 2 deaths (1 n/a)

2 largest Ship outbreaks were 105 cases + 112 cases
(One of these possibly reads as 2 cruises on a turnaround ship!) Like the Oz Cruises, go back for more!
Cruise Companies admit to not following up onshore outbreaks 1/20 is reported as default infection.
That seems to ring true with crew as well...kinda like a standard outbreak on any ship! ("Just the 20!")
Mostly as many won't realize they're infected and simply go about their way.
Possible Total 1,359 x 20 maximum Port Town cases ( Reason for CDC to censor real time Cruise Data)

All recall how these cases dragged out for weeks / months upon Cruise Closure...a real dampener!
More importantly any real time tracking may link non passenger deaths to Cruise Industry! Not Good!

In the wash up...(95%-100% onboard Vaxed) 1,359 / 600,000 passengers = 1/226.5 Vax infection rate
Weird how the World has flipped on it's head, as Highly Vaxed nations would now kill for that infection rate!
Infectious Cruise is surprisingly safer onboard than risking shore leave at any 20-100% Vaxed Ports.
Passengers are equally as safe to visit any 10% Vaxed Ports or safer with Lowest vaxed Ports.
Not sure if safe Low Vaxed Ports would risk welcoming Fully Vaxed Cruise Passengers!

Here's the CDC Cruise Report + Links to report...just in case pdf don't link...
https://www.dropbox.com/s/pf4hzhvtxd4fnvu/CDC-CSO-Extension-10-25-21-p.p...
https://www.independent.co.uk/travel/news-and-advice/us-cruise-ships-cov...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/travel/2021/11/05/covid-cruise-cdc-positi...

burleigh's picture
burleigh's picture
burleigh Thursday, 9 Dec 2021 at 10:35pm
mikehunt207's picture
mikehunt207's picture
mikehunt207 Friday, 10 Dec 2021 at 12:52am

We get the stance you are pushing Burleigh but posting links to pop up add bearing weird news outlets doesnt help your cause much and the fact you have never participated in these forums in the past makes it look seem you are just here to stir shit with the anti vax agenda
Yawn

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Friday, 10 Dec 2021 at 7:18am
Island Bay wrote:
Roker wrote:

Jacinta rallying to the cause of the freedom fighters who ring the talk back and demand governments counter vax apartheid by implementing apartheid against the obese and anyone who makes unhealthy lifestyle choices. You know, deny them hospital treatment, tax them into penury, ban this, ban that, etc.

NZers will no longer be free to smoke cigarettes.

What next? No longer free to drink alcohol, obviously. And junk food. No longer free to undertake ‘action sports’? Maybe. A potentially unhealthy lifestyle choice after all - liable to encumber the health system.

Go Jacinta! This is just the beginning.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/09/new-zealand-to-ban-smoking...

She's nuts. NZ is going down the gurgler.

Worst PM leading the worst govt ever. The view on Cindy from outside the bubble is nothing like the reality…mind you…the stupid Kiwis that voted her in have no one to blame but themselves.

Roadkill's picture
Roadkill's picture
Roadkill Friday, 10 Dec 2021 at 7:22am

However, banning smoking is a good thing. I hope Australia follows.

Vic Local's picture
Vic Local's picture
Vic Local Friday, 10 Dec 2021 at 8:28am

Given the amount of toxic anti-vax /alt right bullshit flowing, there may be one little positive. I'm tipping the burleighs, blowins, and shortenisms of this world will be so distracted, 2021 might be the first year in a generation that Christmas doesn't get stolen by Muslims / minorities /PC mob.

overthefalls's picture
overthefalls's picture
overthefalls Friday, 10 Dec 2021 at 9:21am

Bitchute, Instagram, The Expose ...... What next? You're right, mikehunt207; these sources don't do much for the anti-vaxxers' cause. If anything, they just make it look like they're scraping the bottom of the rabbit hole.