Lots of swell to come from Sunday afternoon

Craig Brokensha picture
Craig Brokensha (Craig)

Southern Tasmania Surf Forecast by Craig Brokensha (issued Friday 19th January)

Best Days: Tiny waves Saturday morning, Monday morning, Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning

Recap

Good clean easing surf from 2ft yesterday morning after Wednesday's pulse, back to a tiny glassy 1-1.5ft this morning.

Today’s Forecaster Notes are brought to you by Rip Curl

This weekend and next week (Jan 20 - 26)

The surf will remain tiny into tomorrow, likely around 1-1.5ft owing to a small low forming south of us today. A low point in swell is expected Sunday morning but into the afternoon and Monday a strong SW groundswell is due.

This swell has actually been upgraded in size, with the polar frontal progression generating it now due to produce a great elongated fetch of W/SW gales in our swell window.

We should see a good kick to 2ft across Clifton later Sunday but with SE sea breezes.

Monday should be see easy 3ft sets across Clifton, easing during the day with a N/NW offshore, swinging more W/NW and possibly giving into SE sea breezes.

This swing to W/NW winds will be associated with a mid-latitude front pushing in from the west, generating strong W/SW winds.

We'll see a good secondary pulse of W/SW groundswell for later Tuesday but more so Wednesday to 2ft to possibly 3ft under NW offshores.

Following this we may actually see one more low forming in our swell window, producing another swell for Thursday afternoon, but we'll have another look at this Monday. Have a great weekend!

Comments

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Sunday, 21 Jan 2018 at 11:43am

Hey Craig,

Sorry to bother you on a weekend, do you reckon Monday or Wednesday will be bigger ? Models are saying Wednesday .. have they shifted since the forecaster notes or just something causing an inaccuracy ?

Cheers

Craig's picture
Craig's picture
Craig Monday, 22 Jan 2018 at 12:26pm

Missed this sorry Superfish. Today's swell will be slightly bigger, better direction and stronger period. Wednesday swell more west.

superfish's picture
superfish's picture
superfish Monday, 22 Jan 2018 at 12:55pm

No worries thanks mate

truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher's picture
truebluebasher Tuesday, 23 Jan 2018 at 2:18am

12 ft swell is clocking off the charts come next Tuesday 30th Jan ... Is that for real?