Hey!!! Mitchvg!!!! Yeah, you!
Is this a pic of the red herring? I can't really find a setup looking nearly as good, nearby! The way those lines just jump off the screen. Anyway, My point was that any swell coming from that general area and direction might go better on the chain immediately behind the baguette.
Let's say a swell line comes from 30S 160W. As it approaches target chain, the bathymetry would bend the swell lines counter-clockwise. So we have swell approaching the reef from the ESE/SE and E, and a right with an intense bowling shape. You only Lifou once aye, only one way to find out. I knew the area you were talking about straight up btw becuase you've mentioned it elsewhere... ;)
No doubt frogs legs would be awesome too..... But can only speculate, cos I haven't physically been there... But have been around herrings.... Yeh, photo of the red herring, from a certain surfing site...... The spot I have noticed is alot more open..... Looks like on the day photo was taken between sets, but definite tell tale white water trail with a wave peaking at take off..... Not a herring....... But you'll figure out a fish you like.... Not now, maybe in an hour, maybe in a day.....
ps- you will also notice a couple of those islands are out of froggys shadow re' sw and s swells...... And the top of the chain is fully open to e. ene. ne. n. nw. and believe it or not, WEST swells!!!!! Check that angle out next cyclone season ;)
Maybe I'll check it out right now! W swell into trades would be good.
Then again, what are the chances of getting a flight last minute when a TCs raging
Next time you see a big grunty cyclone out east of ratshit, and sse of sudest, think about it..... Mind you, no huge fetch squeeze like the southern flank of a pacific cyclone, but still good swell ( similar to those WA cyclone swells....
Well, good chance I reckon, if the cyclone isn't heading towards the destination.... If it's hovering around 13 s - 158 e and heading slowly ssw. Or something like that
My shed or welly's :(
Mitch, nearly choked on my raisin toast this morning.... Channel surfing - clicked on 7, here's their "weather girl" doing the weather on a certain south pacific island, where volcanoes rumble and dukes are worshipped!!!! WTF!!???!!!!
Nearly chocked when I saw Poirot on QandA last night hahaha
Yessssss. Strange shit is going down.... Wasn't called "the guru" in coolum for nothin' ;)..... hmmm, next prediction? - Trade swell for the sunny coast late in the first week of August????? Could it be??? :p
Yeah Sheepio that looks pretty good eh,
I'm also looking at that great Southern Ocean one with cool Westerlies and a stalling LWT inbetween OZ and NZ.....? Frozen water stuff, ooohhh.....!
2 swells for ya, welly.... One short/mid range, and one long range.....
Cool will be home by the 4th, yeeeew ;)
DId you say something???? My ElomARs eyes are full of sand... :/
Yo mitch.......... What's been happening?........... nice warm days up your way..... Maybe waves soon too....Here's something interesting.... 19.506764............
Looking super fun from the east, bit unusual for this time of year though.
Reading the courier mail and you wonder why serious journos are worried about the death of newspapers. Anyway this number you speak of... Are we talking a long shadow in the gulf country? Timor sea doesn't seem moist enough? Flatish high on aus. MJOs wigging out...
Mitch.... You are waaaaaaay off....... not even warm ;) Think, man...... THINK!!!!!! ;)
Hahaha I can't mate. My head's too full of bloody IDOs IEDs PDOs.
Fuck see, I meant IOD not IDO haha
Mate. Your head is full of iodine, improvised explosive devices and Protected Designation of Origins???? Jesus.....
The number I gave is not a red f*ckn herring ;)
Iodine....and sulphur?
Maybe not sulphr. Is there room for 2? Na?
There'd always be room for 2, mitch .... Btw, a while back in bloggers waves, you posted a photo of a brown Buchans bomb........ How big do you reckon the face of the wave was? I don't think it was 200cm.... But it was bigger than 150cm... If I was a perfectionist....hmmm.... I'd say...... 170.2389 cm.......
Well. Looks can be deceiving! I've only seen Red Herring when it's cooking, just looks so tasty!
mitchvg wrote:Reading the courier mail and you wonder why serious journos are worried about the death of newspapers. Anyway this number you speak of... Are we talking a long shadow in the gulf country? Timor sea doesn't seem moist enough? Flatish high on aus. MJOs wigging out...
Hey there Mitch Verg Good, just reading above and picked up on the "Timor Sea not moist enough"...?
I've been out here for the last week, half way between Darwin and Dilli, the last 3 days we have had squally showers and it pissed down yesterday arvo for 3 or so hours.
Very unusal out here for this time of the year...? Does this have any influence of how maybe out East with the Easterly fetch of that high....?
Anyone, weather guru's...!
Ah well there ya go, that's why I'm here. To learn. As far as I understand it...
- Moist surface air over the Timor Sea can be fed into the NW WA, by the NW flank of a H.
- This is then pushed upwards, by an advancing front to the W.
- When the moist air rises, it is captured in the upper W'ly winds and forms high cloud over Central Australia.
- As the moist and cold upper air reaches the east coast, it meets warm and moist air. This warm and moist air (trades)is being moved from the surface of the Coral Sea, and uplifted over the Great Dividing Range.
- This can then cause trough on land, to bomb into an ECL over water....
Pretty spot on there Mitch, but that only happens when everything comes into line at once. But we've got that setup forming into next week with the easterlies feeding into a weak upper cold pool and inland surface trough. If the cold pool were deeper it'd almost be a certainty!
Mitch.... Have a real good look.... Diagonal....... Open...... Taken on different day...... Primo...... Grunt...... Heaps heavier than kippers on toast.......
Re' spring ecl's.... Yeah they can happen..... la nina helps....
Yeah mate cheers, watched the charts over the weekend and things have gone a bit bland for ACCESSG, but EC looks encouraging...
Don't hold your breath.... BTW, you once said you'd like to score "captain Cook" point....... Possibly a few little sliders there with this ridge.... Be lowgrade but fun nonetheless....
Nah... ACCESS keeping a lid on things still, between NC and NZ also. I was a bit slow the other day, capt cook point :/ ... Been sick. I know now but.
Thanks to Davo too re reef. Can spend ages on those reefs on google maps, when zoomed right in... pretty funny you two, but after your story about "Doris" the staffer, I can't quite fully believe this til I see it... :P I might actually be moving back up there, so I'll definitely give the kiting a go. Geez I reckon I'd get more grief for trying to be a surfer than a kiter these days!
So did you work on the boats in SEQ? I assure you I'm not on the gear when I'm talking about dots of light and the 0369!
Now that I've got your attention......